Super Trifecta Bowl Claims
We have not made enough noise about the STB Claims order, but it is the reverse of the Home Team Releases and Claims mid-season:
The top twelve Analysts from the regular season will have a Claim for ownership in this order: 1) Analyst of the Year, 2) Seeder’s Cup Winner, 3) Fibonacci Stakes Winner, 4) Player Haters Winner, 5) PC-Fecta Derby Winner, 6) Place in the Analyst of the Year, 7) Show in the Analyst of the Year, and 8) from 4th-12th position in the Analyst of the Year until twelve teams in total are Claimed by Analysts. When an Analyst has two or more Claims, the highest Claim is granted.
https://www.roi2partners.com/wftl/superfecta-bowl/
A Crown Win secures a Claim. Unfortunately, the leaders of the AoY are also Winners of the first three Crowns. So, the only way for other Analysts to secure a Claim for STB IX is to Win The Seeders’ Cup! And, nobody with 4 or fewer Trifectas is safe at the moment. If two or more Analysts with 2 to 4 Trifectas go on a run, the mid-field could suddenly find themselves eating dust — and that prognostication includes several Analysts with 5 Trifectas if they do not add to their Trifecta totals!
Scenarios
To be in contention in Week 17, an Analyst has to be within 2 Trifectas of the leader after Week 16. Thus….
For the Win…
With a Trifecta in Week 16, Bookie (7 and 33 Correct Picks) can eliminate for the Win every Analyst with 4 Trifectas and any Analyst with 5 Trifectas who does not add a 6th Trifecta. If, however, Bookie busts, then every Analyst with 4 Trifectas can remain in contention for the Win at least one more week — if they earn a Trifecta!
Analysts’ current number of Correct Picks indicates the strength of surpassing Bookie. Even if The Strategist (30 Correct Picks) or Big Tuna (28 Correct Picks) ties Bookie on Trifectas in Week 18, Bookie will have to have had at least one week with zero Correct Picks to make up the difference. The challengers’ best bets are to surpass Bookie on Trifectas.
Unusually, for the Analysts with 5 Trifectas currently, Roxy Trot (33 Correct Picks), Mo Money (32 Correct Picks), or Sponge Mom (31 Correct Picks) can close out the season (Week 18) in a tie for the lead at 7 or 8 Trifectas and Win. The strength of their tiebreakers (Correct Picks) can elevate them over Bookie, The Strategist and Big Tuna in a tie. The leaders need 9 Trifectas to outright eliminate these three challengers.
Jimmy V (30 Correct Picks) and Wreck It Ralph (28 Correct Picks) need help…Both Analysts have to overcome the Correct Pick differential as well as the Trifecta differential, so both Analysts need those mentioned above to founder in the home stretch.
For Place or Show…
Analysts with 3 or more Trifectas entering Week 16 can Place or Show, but the season minimum for the Winner’s Circle is 6 Trifectas (The Strategist and Big Tuna) at the moment.
For the Claim…
Bug Bug at 4 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks is the current cut for a Claim in Super Trifecta Bowl IX. She is on a roll with three straight Trifectas and a fourth in Week 16 will likely elevate her over one of the other Analysts with 4 Trifectas.
For the back half of the field at 4 or fewer Trifectas, the target is 5 Trifectas — and some help. Fourteen Analysts have 5 or fewer Trifectas after Week 15. So, even those in contention for the Win in Week 16 could suddenly find themselves among the five worst Analysts of the Year if they earn no Trifectas in the final three weeks!
The only Analyst with no hope of a Claim in Super Trifecta Bowl IX is Atwork. At 0 Trifectas on the season, the best he can do is tie B-Reezy in fourteenth place at 3 Trifectas.
