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Fibonacci Stakes VIII | Pick Results | Leg 5
Month: December 2021
Scenarios | Fibonacci Stakes VIII | Leg 5
Fibonacci Stakes VIII | Standings | Leg 4
Headed into the home stretch (Leg 5), Big Tuna holds a 6 point lead over his nearest competitor — more than 5-point Fibonacci Bonus Pick in Leg 5. This means his challengers will have to earn at least one more Fibonacci Bonus and/or better Trifecta (base or lame) than he does.
Leg 4 Picks
Scenarios
Big Tuna (1st Place; 27 points): The Eagles are on a Bye in Leg 5, so Big Tuna must change at least one Pick. His maximum score is *base* Trifecta (6) plus two Fibonacci Bonus Picks (10) for 16 points. No other Analyst can reach 43 points. If Big Tuna gets a lame Trifecta with two Fibonacci Bonus Pick, he still adds 13 points total. If Big Tuna gets a lame Trifecta with one Fibonacci Bonus Pick, he gains 8 points to reach 35 points total.
While Big Tuna can wipe out (0 points) down the home stretch, the Scenarios consider his “average” outcome (8 points) because many Analyst also have his other Fibonacci Bonus Picks (Rams and Buccaneers).
Woody (2nd Place; 21 points): Woody had the Bills and Buccaneers in Leg 4 — two teams that play each other in Leg 5. She has the luxury of Picking the winner of the Bills/Bucs game for Fibonacci Bonus Points, but Woody also can add only16 points total with a *base* Trifecta and two Fibonacci Bonus Picks. That is enough to Win if Big Tuna scores 8 points or less and those who trail her do not surpass her total.
Mo Money (3rd place; 20 points): Mo Money can perform the full Fibonacci for 21 points. That is enough to beat Big Tuna with a *lame* Trifecta (max = 40 points) and Woody with a 16-point Trifecta (max = 37 points). If she switches Picks (to maintain AoY strategy), then her gambit will require Big Tuna and Woody to falter and those trailing her not to perform a full Fibonacci.
KateTDid (4th Place; 18 points): KateTDid requires a full Fibonacci (21 points) to exceed 37 points (more than Big Tuna’s projected 8-point outcome) and Woody’s maximum outcome. Mo Money can outrace her to the finish line if Rams Win.
Jimmy V (5th Place; 18 points): Jimmy V is Boxed Out by Mo Money, which mean he can Place at best if he holds the same three teams. If he changes one Pick strategically, he can reach 34 points. Whether that is enough to Win depends on which three teams he holds and how other Analysts’ Picks prove true!
Roxy Trot (6th Place; 17 points) and Bookie (7th Place; 17 points): Both Analysts have the Bills and Buccaneers (playing each other in Leg 5). Both must change at least one Pick and at most can earn 16 points for 33 Trifecta Points total. To Win, they will have to choose wisely between Bills and Buccaneers, and then find a third Pick to complete a 16-point Trifecta. Both need to examine the Analysts ahead of them to find the proper third Pick to come from behind.
All Other Analysts: Are in the back half of the field and trailing Big Tuna by at least 12 points. The full Fibonacci (if possible) is their best hope, but most are partially Boxed Out by other Analysts ahead of them. Atwork is in the best position since he has three unique Picks including Cowboys and Seahawks (nobody else has these two teams). The other Analysts will have to spend the night at the computer running predictive models to find their best hope for the Win!
Standings | Analyst of the Year VIII | Week 13
Analyst of the Year VIII
In the final turn, the leaders of the Eighth Running of the Analyst of the Year regain their gait and begin the weeks-long process of eliminating competition!
Jimmy V returns to form at the most opportune moment. He squeezes hard to keep his lead with an 8th Trifecta and 31st Correct Pick. Mo Money (7 Trifectas and 28 Correct Picks) in second place holds off Sponge Mom (6 Trifectas and 30 Correct Picks) in third place, as both add Trifectas in Week 13.
B-Reezy (5 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) propels himself into sole possession of fourth place. At 4 Trifectas each, Woody (28 Correct Picks) takes over fifth fourth place, one head lead over The Strategist (27 Correct Picks) and Roxy Trot (27 Correct Picks) in sixth position, and Little Tuna (25 Correct Picks) swimming upstream to the top half of the field.
At the back of the field, Craft Brew (3 Trifectas and 26 Correct Picks) and Big Tuna (3 Trifectas and 26 Correct Picks) stoke their hopes for a championship run and share eighth position.
Headed to the glue factory, defending AoY champion Wise Orangutan (2 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks) falls to tenth place and becomes officially eliminated from regaining his trophy! Joining Wise O., Bookie (2 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks) and Atwork (2 Trifectas and 22 Correct Picks) also must recover from an extraordinarily early elimination from the AoY chase.
KateTDid (1 Trifecta), who started the season gloriously with a Trifecta in the first week, ponders wistfully about the season that could have been — if an Analyst had not poached her Claim to the Buccaneers two years in a row!
Trifectas
Correct Picks
Standings | Fibonacci Stakes VIII | Leg 4
Fibonacci Stakes VIII
Several Analysts work the bugs out of their algorithms to take home *base* Trifecta Points and shake up the Test of the Computations!
Big Tuna — eager to become only the second Analyst with a Career Grand Slam! — earns a *base* Trifecta with 2 Fibonacci Bonus Picks in Leg 4 for 12 points! He moves into first place with 27 points. Woody (21 points) — the only other Analyst to net points in each of the first four Legs — rises into second place with a modest 6-point *lame* Trifecta. Mo Money (20 points) vaults into third place with a 9-point *base* Trifecta.
KateTDid (18 points) holds onto fourth place by virtue of 1 Correct Home Team Pick — one more than Jimmy V (18 points) who bolts into fifth place with a 9-point *base* Trifecta. With 17 points each, Roxy Trot (2 Correct Home Team Picks) moves into sixth place while Bookie (0 Correct Home Team Picks) lapses from first to seventh place with a busted Trifecta in Leg 4.
In the back half of the field, Atwork (15 points) performs the full Fibonacci to move from last place to eighth place before the final Leg! Craft Brew (14 points) holds at ninth place with 14 Trifecta Points, followed by Sponge Mom (13 points) in tenth place and B-Reezy (12 points) in eleventh position.
Wise Orangutan (11 points) fades into twelfth place, trailed by The Strategist (10 points) and Little Tuna (9 points) at the tail end of the field.
Tiebreakers
Fibonacci Stakes VIII | Pick Results | Leg 4
The Picks Are In:
The Pick Results Are In:
Standings | Analyst of the Year VIII | Week 12
Analyst of the Year VIII
Another tough week for most Analysts, but a few cut the Gordian knot of broken Trifectas!
Jimmy V maintains the lead with 7 Trifectas and 28 Correct Picks, but his lead has fallen to 1 length. Mo Money gets off the schneid to reach 6 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks, overtaking Sponge Mom for second place! Sponge Mom (5 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) falls to third place, suffering from a staph(fford) infection during November.
Holding steady at 4 Trifectas each, The Strategist (26 Correct Picks) gives ground to Woody (26 Correct Picks) to share fourth place. Roxy Trot (25 Correct Picks) claims the sixth position, overtaking B-Reezy (24 Correct Picks) in seventh place.
Craft Brew (3 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks) in eighth place creates distance with Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 22 Correct Picks) in ninth place. Wise Orangutan (2 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks) and Big Tuna (2 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks) share tenth place, leading Bookie (2 Trifectas and 22 Correct Picks) in twelfth place by a head.
KateTDid drops into thirteenth place with 1 Trifecta and 24 Correct Picks, while Atwork dominates last place with 1 Trifecta and 19 Correct Pick! KateTDid and Atwork now lead the competition for Analysts with No Claim in the playoffs!
Trifectas
Correct Picks
Standings | Fibonacci Stakes VIII | Leg 3
Fibonacci Stakes VIII
After laboring over a heavy track around the near turn, a handful of Analysts pull away from the field and set themselves up for computational success!
Bookie performs the full Fibonacci down the back stretch, earning a *base* Trifecta and three *bonus* Picks for 12 points. She takes the lead with 17 Trifecta Points! Woody and Big Tuna both add a *lame* Trifecta with two *bonus* Picks to reach 15 Trifecta Points total. Big Tuna adds to his second place edge over Woody with another (2) Correct Home Team Picks through the third leg.
KateTDid moves into sole possession of fourth place with 12 Trifecta Points total. She is followed by Roxy Trot and Mo Money with 11 Trifecta Points each. Both have 2 Correct Home Team Picks, giving Roxy Trot the edge for fifth place with 3 Fibonacci Bonus Picks over Mo Money with 1 Fibonacci Bonus Pick. The Strategist moves into seventh place with 10 Trifecta Points.
In the back half of the field, Jimmy V holds eighth place with 9 Trifecta Points, followed closely by Craft Brew in ninth with 8 Trifecta Points. The remaining Analysts did not add to their Trifecta Point totals down the back stretch. Wise Orangutan drops to tenth place at 5 Trifecta Points and Sponge Mom falls to eleventh with 4 Trifecta Points. At 3 Trifecta Points B-Reezy slips to twelfth place.
Atwork and Little Tuna, tied at 0 Trifecta Points, both report that Smath, the Game That Makes Math Fun, does not help one lick with Picking the outcomes of football games!
Trifecta Points
Tiebreakers
Fibonacci Stakes VIII | Pick Results | Leg 3
The Picks Are In:
The Pick Results Are In:
