Busted, busted, busted, busted, busted, busted, busted, busted, busted, busted, busted, busted, busted and busted Trifecta. That makes it easy for us at The Clearinghouse! Ditto Week 10:
Jimmy V leads, Sponge Mom remains in second place, and Mo Money is in third place.
The Strategist is in fourth position, Woody ties for fourth place, and B-Reezy falls to sixth place in a tie with Roxy Trot.
Craft Brew noses ahead of Little Tuna for eighth place. Wise Orangutan and Big Tuna labor on in tenth and eleventh position.
KateTDid clings to twelfth place, while Atwork and Bookie start to ponder the possibilities of a Patriots run to the Super Bowl!
Trifectas
Standings after Week 11 of Analyst of the Year VIII
Correct Picks
Tiebreakers after Week 11 of Analyst of the Year VIII
A somewhat pedestrian — some may say on the way back to a fourth-grade math test of computations — but the field begins to separate after two weeks!
Woody and Big Tuna lead with 8 Trifecta Points each, with Big Tuna holding the edge with 1 Correct Home Team Pick. Wise Orangutan, Bookie and KateTDid follow with 5 points each, with Wise O. in third place with 1 Correct Home Team Pick.
Tied at 4 points each, Jimmy V, Roxy Trot and Sponge Mom form the middle of the field, Roxy Trot having the edge with 1 Correct Home Team Pick. At 3 points each, Craft Brew, The Strategist, B-Reezy and Mo Money earn a bronze star for math acumen!
Two straight weeks of no Trifectas for our proficient prognosticators! Again, the Standings largely remain the same except when Correct Picks factor in.
Jimmy V leads by two lengths (7 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks). Sponge Mom (5 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks) remains in second place, holding off Mo Money (5 Trifectas and 21 Correct Picks) in third place for a third week.
At 4 Trifectas each, The Strategist (23 Correct Picks) is in fourth position, Woody and B-Reezy (22 Correct Picks) continue in fifth place, but Roxy Trot (21 Correct Picks) slips to sixth position after adding only 1 Correct Pick in Week 10.
Craft Brew (3 Trifectas and 20 Correct Picks) remains in a tie with Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 20 Correct Picks) for eighth place. Wise Orangutan (2 Trifectas and 20 Correct Picks) and Big Tuna (2 Trifectas and 19 Correct Picks) labor in tenth and eleventh position.
KateTDid (20 total) clings to twelfth place with 1 Trifecta, while Atwork and Bookie (17 Correct Picks each) continue on track to become the Analysts with No Claim during the playoffs!
Trifectas
Standings after Week 10 of Analyst of the Year VIII
Tiebreakers
Tiebreakers after Week 10 of Analyst of the Year VIII
The Analysts have submitted their papers and claimed their Home Teams. No Analysts has released or claimed a new Home Team for the next Crown Race.
The Claim Box for Fibonacci Stakes VIII is:
Fibonacci Stakes VIII | Entrants
Slate of Games
Fibonacci Stakes VIII | Slate of Games
The Slate of Games for Fibonacci Stakes VIII includes thirteen head-to-head competitions, including five in Leg 5. In addition, eight Home Teams will enjoy a bye week during the Stakes. Picking teams going on or coming off a Bye limits the potential for Fibonacci *bonus* points.
Fibonacci *bonus* points can be earned from both Home Teams and un-Claimed Teams. Un-Claimed Teams with a chance at Fibonacci *bonus* points are Saints (Legs 1 and 2), Panthers (Legs 1 and 2), Lions (Legs 2 and 3), Colts (Legs 2 and 3), Saints (Legs 2 and 3), Giants (Legs 2 and 3), Raiders (Legs 3 and 4), Saints (Legs 3 and 4), Patriots (Legs 3 and 4), Raiders (Legs 4 and 5), and Jaguars (Legs 4 and 5). Un-Claimed Teams must be Picked in both listed Legs in order to earn Fibonacci *bonus* points in the second of the two Legs.
Home Teams owned by an Analyst are in bold. The team at the left is the visiting team; the team at the right is the host (playing at home). There are many featured games: five Thursday games (TNF, including Thanksgiving Day), four Sunday night (SNF), and five Monday nights (MNF). SNF flex scheduling begins this month, so the kickoff time may change for some Sunday games.
Picks
Remember: Every Analyst has a bias for his or her Home Team and may NOT pick their Claimed team to lose. Analysts do not have to pick his or her Home Team to win, but *bonus* trifecta points are won only if Analysts include the Home Team in a *base* or *lame* Trifecta. Analysts must Pick Three games from the official Slate of Games. See the Preakness Rules for more.
Email picks in private to The Bookie before each Leg (week) of the Race. Thursday games are due by 4pm EST on Thursdays. All Sunday and Monday Picks are due on Saturdays at 5pm EST. Both deadlines may be extended at the discretion of The Bookie. No Picks for games after kickoffs are accepted.
No revisions (Re-Picks) are possible after the Picks have been released to all Analysts by The Bookie.
A total wipe-out by the Analysts for the first time this year! Nobody earned a Trifecta, so the Standings largely remain the same except when Correct Picks factor in.
Jimmy V leads by two lengths (7 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks). Sponge Mom (5 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks) remains in second place, fending off Mo Money (5 Trifectas and 19 Correct Picks) in third place.
At 4 Trifectas each, The Strategist (21 Correct Picks) is in fourth position, Woody and Roxy Trot (20 Correct Picks) give ground to B-Reezy (20 Correct Picks) and now share fifth position.
Craft Brew (3 Trifectas and 19 Correct Picks) allows Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 19 Correct Picks) to tie for eighth place. Former Champions Wise Orangutan (2 Trifectas and 19 Correct Picks) and Big Tuna (2 Trifectas and 17 Correct Picks) stay in tenth and eleventh position.
KateTDid, with eight straight weeks of 2 Correct Picks (19 total), clings to twelfth place with 1 Trifecta, while Atwork and Bookie (16 Correct Picks each) are committed to being the Analysts with No Claim entering the playoffs!
Trifectas
Standings after Week 9 of Analyst of the Year VIII
Correct Picks
Tiebreakers after Week 9 of Analyst of the Year VIII
Standings after Leg 4 of Player Haters Preakness VIII
Headed into the final Leg (5), we have a four way tie at 24 points as well as six more Analysts with 18 to 21 points. That means we have far too many possible outcomes to consider in a comprehensive scenario.
Assuming that at least one leading Analyst reaches 27 to 30 points (+1 *lame* or *base* Trifecta), what follows are brief statements on the relative strength of Tiebreakers for each Analyst vis-a-vis the current leader (Mo Money). See the Tiebreakers grid at the bottom of the post to verify Analyst strength of Tiebreakers.
Scenarios
Mo Money (1st place; 24 points): She leads with 3 Correct Home Team Picks and 2.0 forced turnovers per game. She also has first Tiebreaker over Atwork* and B-Reezy. Her Buccaneers are on a bye in Leg 5, however, so she cannot improve her advantage. If she reaches 30 Trifecta points, she will remain at 3 Correct Home Team Picks and 2.0 forced turnovers per game — which we treat as the bar for others to Win on Tiebreakers.
Roxy Trot (2nd Place; 24 points): She controls second place with 2 Correct Home Team Picks and 2.3 forced turnovers per game. She also has first Tiebreaker over KateTDid, but loses to Little Tuna in a two-way tie on first Tiebreaker. Her Bills play this week so she can reach 3 Correct Home Team Picks to tie Mo Money. She also will need 2 forced turnovers to Win, or 1 forced turnover to Tie Mo Money for first place.
Jimmy V (3rd Place; 24 points): He holds third place with 2 Correct Home Team Picks and 1.3 forced turnovers per game. He also has a first Tiebreaker over Woody, but loses to Big Tuna on first Tiebreaker. His Cardinals play this week so he can reach 3 Correct Home Team Picks, but he will need 5 forced turnovers in order to reach Mo Money’s 2.0 per game, and possibly more turnovers to reach Roxy Trot’s or Little Tuna’s forced turnovers per game.
Little Tuna (4th Place; 24 points): She holds fourth place with 1 Correct Home Team Pick and 2.3 forced turnovers per game. She also has first Tiebreaker over Roxy Trot and KateTDid. Her Titans play this week so she can reach 2 Correct Home Team Picks. She will lose in a tie with Mo Money (second Tiebreaker), win in a tie with Roxy Trot (first tiebreaker) and likely win in a tie with Jimmy V unless he Correctly Picks his Cardinals to Win this week. And, see Sponge Mom below.
Craft Brew (5th Place; 21 points): He is in sole possession of fifth place with 1 Correct Home Team Pick and 1.3 forced turnovers per game. He reaches 27 with a *base* Trifecta without Player Hater Picks (+6), or 33 points with 2 Player Haters Picks (+12). In a tie at 27 points, he will lose to Mo Money (3 Correct Home Team Picks). He also is at a disadvantage to Roxy Trot and Jimmy V (2 Correct Home Team Picks before Leg 5) and to Little Tuna on forced turnovers per game (2.3 before Leg 5). Correct Picks and forced turnovers in Leg 5 will determine his outcome in a tie.
Sponge Mom (6th Place, 18 points): She holds sixth place with 4 Correct Home Team Picks and 2.3 forced turnovers per game. She also has first Tiebreaker over Bookie and faces Little Tuna in Leg 5. No Analyst can equal her current Correct Home Team Picks, so she holds the tiebreakers over all Analysts except Little Tuna (pending outcome of Titans-Rams game). In order to reach 30 points, however, she needs two Correct Player Hater Picks for 12 points. She could aim for 24 points (1 or 0 Player Hater Picks) and hope that no other Analyst scores more than 24 points.
KateTDid (7th Place; 18 points): She is in seventh place with 1 Correct Home Team Pick and 1.0 forced turnovers per game. She has first Tiebreaker over The Strategist, but loses on first Tiebreaker to Roxy Trot and Little Tuna. Her Chiefs play this week, so she can reach 2 Correct Home Team Picks. In order to reach 30 points, she needs two Correct Player Hater Picks for 12 points, however, she is currently disadvantaged on Tiebreakers to most Analysts ahead of her (note: she can Place if only two Analysts reach 30 points). A Perfect Player Haters Trifecta (+18 points) is a clearer, if riskier, path to Victory. Also, see Big Tuna below.
Woody (8th Place; 18 points): She is in eighth place with 1 Correct Home Team Pick and 0.5 forced turnovers per game. She loses on first Tiebreaker to Jimmy V. Her Browns play this week, so she can reach 2 Correct Home Team Picks. In order to reach 30 points, she needs two Correct Player Hater Picks for 12 points, however, she also is currently disadvantaged on Tiebreakers to most Analysts ahead of her (note: she can Place if only two Analysts reach 30 points). A Perfect Player Haters Trifecta (+18 points) is a clearer, if riskier, path to Victory.
The Strategist (9th Place; 18 points): She is in ninth place with 0 Correct Home Team Picks and 1.8 forced turnovers per game. She loses on first Tiebreaker to KateTDid and Big Tuna. Her Football Team is on a bye, so her Tiebreakers are locked in. She needs two Correct Player Hater Picks for 12 points to reach 30 total, but she is currently disadvantaged on Tiebreakers to all Analysts ahead of her (note: she can Place if only two Analysts reach 30 points). A Perfect Player Haters Trifecta (+18 points) is a clearer, if riskier, path to Victory.
B-Reezy (10th Place; 18 points): He is in tenth place with 0 Correct Home Team Picks and 0.5 forced turnovers per game. He loses on first Tiebreaker to Mo Money and Big Tuna. His Bears play this week, but he is not able to improve his Tiebreakers well enough to challenge the current leaders. He needs two Correct Player Hater Picks for 12 points to reach 30 total, and the rest of the field to fail to reach 30 points. A Perfect Player Haters Trifecta (+18 points) is a clearer, if riskier, path to Victory.
Big Tuna and all Other Analysts (less than 18 points): Each needs a Perfect Player Haters Trifecta (+18 points) to have a chance at the Win. Wise O. and Atwork can reach 33 points for the Win, while Big Tuna can reach 30 points and exercise his first Tiebreakers over B-Reezy, The Strategist, Jimmy V, and KateTDid (TBD, Leg 5 game) in the event of a tie at 30 points. Bookie can reach 24 points at most and cannot Win on Tiebreakers (Seahawks on a bye week).
Tiebreakers
Tiebreakers after Leg 4 of Player Haters Preakness VIII
* Mo Money’s first Tiebreaker (head-to-head) in Leg 2 / Week 2 is over Atwork, not The Strategist.
