Scenarios | Seeder Bonus Points Leg 3
The scenarios include only the teams on our Slate of Games. To see all scenarios for Week 16, see the link below. A “+” indicates two or more games determine the berth scenario. An “OR” in capital letters indicates start of a new scenario to clinch.
As this is the final week and only a few seed positions remain, the scenarios are listed in order of Seeder point value. Below the Seeder point scenarios are estimates for what each Analyst needs to earn The Seeders Cup. Reminder for the co-leaders: tie games bust a trifecta, but an Analyst can earn Seeder points should a game end in a tie or a team back into the playoffs despite losing.
AFC Homefield Advantage (4 points): Patriots or Steelers?
Patriots (current AFC 1st seed): 1) NE win OR 2) PIT loss OR 3) NE tie + PIT tie
Steelers (current AFC 2nd seed): 1) PIT win + NE loss or tie OR 2) PIT tie + NE loss
Note: If Patriots win, a Steelers win is worth no Seeder points. If you pick both teams, only one will be worth 4 points.
NFC First-round Bye (3 points): Panthers?
The Vikings are currently the third-seed and control their own destiny. If they lose, then
Panthers (current NFC 5th seed): 1) CAR win + NO loss or tie + MIN loss + LAR loss or tie
Note: All four games must end in this manner for the Panthers to jump from 5th to 2nd seed.
NFC South Division (2 points): Saints or Panthers?
Saints (current NFC 4th seed): 1) NO win OR 2) CAR loss OR 3) NO tie + CAR tie
Panthers (current NFC 5th seed): 1) CAR win + NO loss or tie OR 2) CAR tie + NO loss
Note: If the Vikings take the first-round bye (3), Panthers can still earn the division title Seeder points (2). If both Vikings and Saints win to take both, then Panthers are worth 0 Seeder points. If you pick both Saints and Panthers, only one will be worth points.
NFC Wildcard Playoff Berth (1 point): Seahawks or Falcons
Falcons (current AFC 6th seed): 1) ATL win OR 2) SEA loss OR 3) ATL tie + SEA tie
Seahawks (current AFC 7th seed): 1) SEA win + ATL loss or tie OR 2) SEA tie + ATL loss
Note: If Falcons win, a Seahawks win is worth no Seeder points. If you pick both teams, only one will be worth 1 point.
AFC Wildcard Playoff Berth (1 point): Ravens
Ravens (current AFC 5th seed): 1) BAL win or tie OR 2) BUF loss or tie OR 3) TEN loss or tie
NFL.com link: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000898396/article/nfl-playoffclinching-scenarios-for-week-17
Scenarios | The Seeders Cup | Leg 4:
The maximum winning Trifecta points in Leg 4 are 9 points: AFC Homefield (Patriots or Steelers), NFC First-round Bye (Panthers), and AFC/NFC Wildcard (Ravens, Falcons, or Seahawks). More likely, due to the Panthers scenario, are 8 points: AFC Homefield (Patriots or Steelers), NFC South Division (Panthers or Saints), and AFC/NFC Wildcard (Ravens, Falcons, or Seahawks). That allows 12 different combinations for a winning trifecta. If an Analyst needs fewer than 8/9 points to win, then other games are available for picks.
The strength of each Analyst position in descending order is:
Little Tuna: Needs only 5 Trifecta points to beat all but The Strategist. If she remains tied with The Strategist, she needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and Seeder Points (+3 currently).
The Strategist: Needs only 5 Trifecta points to beat all but Little Tuna. If she remains tied with Little Tuna, she needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake her in Seeder Points (-3 currently).
Wise Orangutan: Needs 6 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) OR NFC First-round Bye (Panthers) + two Wildcard berths (Ravens + Falcons OR Ravens + Seahawks). He needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake Little Tuna in Seeder Points (-5 currently) in the event of a tie.
The Bookie: Needs 6 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. She must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) OR NFC First-round Bye (Panthers) + two Wildcard berths (Ravens + Falcons OR Ravens + Seahawks). She needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake Little Tuna in Seeder Points (-7 currently) in the event of a tie.
Craft Brew: Needs 7 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers). He also needs either 1) an NFC South winner (Saints or Panthers) to catch the leaders OR 2) two Wildcard berths (Ravens + Falcons OR Ravens + Seahawks). He also needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake the leaders in Seeder Points (-6 currently) in the event of a tie.
Atwork: Needs 8 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) AND an NFC South winner (Saints or Panthers) AND a Wildcard team (Ravens or Falcons or Seahawks) to catch the leaders. He also needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake Little Tuna in Seeder Points (-7 currently) in the event of a tie.
Big Tuna: Needs 9 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) AND an NFC first-round bye (Panthers) AND a Wildcard team (Ravens or Falcons or Seahawks) to catch the leaders. If he plays for a tie at 16 points, he needs both the Patriots and Panthers to lose, so he must pick the Steelers AND Saints AND a Wildcard team (Ravens or Falcons or Seahawks). If the tie scenario plays out, he will overtake Little Tuna and The Strategist with 3 Correct Home Team Picks.
B-Reezy: Needs 9 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) AND an NFC first-round bye (Panthers) AND a Wildcard team (Ravens or Falcons or Seahawks) to catch the leaders. Since he can’t pick his Home Team Chiefs and earn 8 or 9 points, if he plays for a tie at 16 points, he will lose the tiebreaker on Seeder Points (-8 currently) in the event of a tie.
Kal Krome: We are afraid Kal has been eliminated. Playing for pride!
Scenarios | Analyst of the Year | Week 16:
The Strategist has built an insurmountable lead down the homestretch!
