Tag: Scenarios

Scenarios | PC-Fecta Derby VIII | Leg 4

Current Standings | PC-Fecta Derby VIII

PC-Fecta Derby VIII | Trifecta Points | Leg 3
Trifecta Points after Leg 3 of PC-Fecta Derby VIII

Headed into the homestretch, half of the field has been eliminated by the front-runner, Sponge Mom! But, her path to her first Win is not written in hoof prints…She must fend off her final challengers to the wire!!!

Scenarios

Seventeen points are the maximum possible in a Leg of the PC-Fecta Derby — a *base* Trifecta (6), an *extra* point (1) for including the Home Team, defensive *PC-Fecta* points (3) for the best Home Team points allowed, and offensive *PC-Fecta* points (7) for the best Home Team points scored.

All references to an *extra* point infers the Analyst Picked his or her Home Team to Win! There are NO scenarios in which an Analyst currently trailing Sponge Mom can Win PC-Fecta Derby VIII without Picking his or her Home Team to Win.

Scenarios cannot take into account all situations in which two or more Analysts earn the same PC-Fecta *bonus* points (defensive or offensive). This does not happen too often, but please see the Disclaimer below!

For The Win:

Sponge Mom leads by 7 points over her closest challenger, Roxy Trot. If she earns a *base* Trifecta, *extra* point, and either *PC-Fecta* points (+3 or +7), she Wins the Race going away at 41 to 48 points. Roxy Trot could at best tie her at 41 points with a *base* Trifecta, *extra* point, and both *PC-Fectas* but Sponge Mom would Win on second tiebreaker (4 Correct Home Team Picks).

If Sponge Mom earns a *lame* Trifecta, *extra* point, and the offensive *PC-Fecta* points (+7) to reach 42 points, she Wins. If she earns a *lame* Trifecta, *extra* point, and the defensive *PC-Fecta* points (+3) to reach 38 points, Roxy Trot can Win with all 17 points — which means the Bills and Rams both would have to hold their opponents to the lowest points allowed (an unlikely situation). If Roxy Trot ties her at 38 with a *base* Trifecta and the offensive *PC-Fecta*, Sponge Mom would again Win on second tiebreaker (4 Correct Home Team Picks).

If Sponge Mom earns a *base* Trifecta, an *extra* point and NO *PC-Fectas to reach 38 points, only Roxy Trot can challenge for the Win by earning a *base* Trifecta, an *extra* point, and both *PC-Fectas* (+10) to reach 41 points. Offensive *PC-Fecta* alone is not enough for Roxy Trot because she will again reach 38 points and lose on second tiebreaker. Likewise, Wise Orangutan loses on second tiebreaker to Sponge Mom if he also reaches 38 points with the full +17 points possible in a single week.

If Sponge Mom earns a *base* Trifecta with NO *extra* point, she reaches 37 points. OR, if Sponge Mom earns a *lame* Trifecta with an *extra* point, she reaches 35 points. In both cases, Roxy Trot must have a *base* Trifecta, an *extra* point, and offensive *PC-Fecta* (+7) at 38 points. Wise Orangutan can Win by earning a *base* Trifecta, an *extra* point, and both *PC-Fectas* (+10) to total 38 points.

If Sponge Mom earns a *lame* Trifecta without an *extra* point, she reaches 34 points. In that case, Roxy Trot can Win with a *base* Trifecta, an *extra* point, and offensive *PC-Fecta* (+7) at 38 points OR Roxy Trot can Win with a *base* Trifecta, an *extra* point, and defensive *PC-Fecta* (+3) at 34 points on third tiebreaker (Bills currently have the better point differential per game over the Rams). Wise Orangutan can Win by earning a *base* Trifecta, an *extra* point, and offensive *PC-Fecta* (+7) to total 35 points (note: at best, Roxy Trot could reach 34 points with the defensive PC-Fecta).

If Sponge Mom fails to earn a *lame* Trifecta in Leg 4 (+0 points), she ends with 31 points and things get really interesting!!! Again, every remaining Win Scenario implies the listed Analyst (Correctly!) Picked his or her Home Team to Win. So, the Scenario for each contending Analyst is…

  • Roxy Trot has the inside rail. She needs the offensive *PC-Fecta* to Win going away, or the defensive *PC-Fecta* to eliminate every Analyst but Wise Orangutan (see below). If she earns the *base* Trifecta and *extra* point to tie Sponge Mom at 31 points, then Wise Orangutan or The Strategist can Win outright with a better total, or tiebreakers may determine the outcome between Sponge Mom, Roxy Trot, Wise Orangutan, or Jimmy V (see below). The Bills currently have the best point differential per game (+16.7).
  • Wise Orangutan can best both Sponge Mom and Roxy Trot with a *base* Trifecta, *extra* point, and offensive *PC-Fecta* at 35 points. If he reaches 31 points with a *base* Trifecta, *extra* point, and defensive *PC-Fecta*, he will likely lose to at least one other Analyst at 31 points based on third tiebreaker (Ravens have a -1.0 point differential per game).
  • The Strategist needs a *base* Trifecta, *extra* point, and both *PC-Fectas* to reach 33 points. The Strategist can not tie any leader to send the outcome to tiebreakers so she needs all 17 points to remain in contention.
  • Jimmy V is the wildcard in the final stretch. His Cardinals face Sponge Mom‘s Rams, so his Home Team can block Sponge Mom from earning one Correct Pick and any *bonus* points, plus he also nets 3 Correct Home Team Picks to equal Sponge Mom on second tiebreaker. So, if he earns a *base* Trifecta, *extra* point, and both *PC-Fectas* to reach 31 points, the Derby can end in a tie with Sponge Mom and and (possibly) Roxy Trot. The Cardinals currently have the second best point differential per game (+12.7) and will have stopped the Rams from improving — only the Bills could best the Cardinals’ point differential per game in that scenario! (See Disclaimer!)
  • Woody can earn a *base* Trifecta, *extra* point, and both *PC-Fectas* to reach 31 points, ending the Derby in a tie with Sponge Mom and (possibly) Roxy Trot. The Browns (+8.7) currently trail both the Bills and Rams in point differential per game, but anything can happen on any give Sunday! (See Disclaimer!)
  • Little Tuna can earn a *base* Trifecta, *extra* point, and both *PC-Fectas* to reach 31 points, ending the Derby in a tie with Sponge Mom and (possibly) Roxy Trot. The Titans (-4.3) currently trail both the Bills and Rams in point differential per game, so they have to erase a 15 to 20 point per game deficit for her to Win on tiebreakers — that does not happen on many given Sundays! (See Disclaimer!)
Disclaimer For the Win:

There is a scenario in which no Analyst does better than 31 points and the Derby ends in a four-to-six way tie. Roxy Trot, Wise Orangutan, Jimmy V, Woody, and Little Tuna can all reach 31 points to tie Sponge Mom if every one of their Home Teams Wins and two or more of those Analysts share the PC-Fecta *bonus* points in certain ways. We cannot really project those scenarios, so the order of the For the Win Scenarios reflects the relative strength of the Analysts’ current positions!

For The Place:

There are far too many possibilities to go into detail. However, an Analyst must be within 17 points of Roxy Trot at 24 points to be in contention. This means that Atwork and Mo Money have been eliminated from Purse. All Analysts mentioned above For the Win have a variety of scenarios. All Analysts heretofore unmentioned will need the offensive or both *PC-Fecta* points to Place.

And ditto on the Disclaimer regarding Place!!

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Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup VII | Leg 4

Playoff-Clinching Scenarios Week 17

Using the NFL.com official projections, the following teams have clinched playoff #1 seed, divisions or berths: Chiefs (#1 Seed and AFC West), Packers (NFC North), Bills (AFC East), Steelers (AFC North) Saints (NFC South), Seahawks (NFC West), and Buccaneers (berth). These 32 Seeder points (AFC #1 seed, 6 divisions and 7 playoff berths) are off the table (of the 52 maximum).

For the Seeders Cup, we review only Win scenarios that earn Seeders points (not tie or loss), but Analysts can earn Seeders points if a Pick backs into a playoff seed in a lame Trifecta. As the final week of the season, the tie/lose scenarios are more likely, so we recommend that all Analysts review the complete scenarios in the link above.

This week is sorted by Seeder Point bonus and prioritizes teams that control their own destinies with a Win. A plus (+) indicates two or more outcomes must happen while an “OR” separate two or more possibilities.

NFC #1 Seed (+7 points)

Packers clinch first-round bye with Win

Saints clinch first-round bye with Win + Packers loss + Seahawks win

Seahawks clinch first-round bye with Win + Packers loss + Saints loss/tie

AFC South (+3 points)

Titans clinch AFC South with Win

Colts clinch AFC South with Win + Titans loss/tie

NFC East (+3 points)

Football Team clinch NFC East with Win (not on Slate of Games)

Cowboys clinch NFC East with Win + Football Team loss/tie

Giants clinch NFC East with Win + Football Team loss/tie

NFC Wildcard (+1 points) – Two Open Seeds

Bears clinch playoff berth with Win

Cardinals clinch playoff berth with Win (v. Rams)

Rams clinch playoff berth with Win (v. Cardinals)

NFC Wildcard (+1 points) – Three Open Seeds

Browns clinch playoff berth with Win

Dolphins clinch playoff berth with Win

Ravens clinch playoff berth with Win (not on Slate of Games)

Colts clinch playoff berth with Win + Ravens loss/tie OR Win + Browns loss/tie OR Win + Dolphins loss/tie

NOTE: Titans also eligible for one of three wildcard spots with a loss or tie.

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Scenarios | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 17

Analyst of the Year VII

See complete Week 16 Standings here.

For the Win

As the last two competitors for the championship, Wise Orangutan has a 1 Trifecta and 1 Correct Pick lead on Craft Brew. In Week 17, if Wise O. gets a Trifecta OR Craft Brew does NOT get a Trifecta, Wise O. Wins.

If Wise O. gets only 2 Correct Picks, Craft Brew can tie him for the lead and send the Analyst of the Year to a post-season playoff (2nd tiebreaker).

If Wise O. gets 1 or 0 Correct Picks, Craft Brew can Win with a Trifecta and Wise O. will Place.

For Place

Craft Brew leads The Strategist by 1 Trifecta and 0 Correct Picks and Jimmy V by 1 Trifecta and 2 Correct Picks. If Craft Brew earns a Trifecta he will either Win (see above) or Place. If both The Strategist and Jimmy V do not get Trifectas then Craft Brew does no worse than Place.

If Craft Brew does not get a Trifecta (2 or fewer Correct Picks), The Strategist can Place with a Trifecta.

BUT, if both Craft Brew and The Strategist do not get Trifectas, then:

  1. If Craft Brew gets 2 Correct Picks, he Places (a Trifecta will not help Jimmy V overcome the -2 Correct Pick disadvantage to start Week 17).
  2. If Craft Brew gets 1 Correct Pick, Jimmy V can tie Craft Brew for Place and force a post-season playoff (2nd tiebreaker) for Place and Show.
  3. If Craft Brew gets 0 Correct Picks, Jimmy V can Place with a Trifecta.

For Show

Craft Brew, The Strategist and Jimmy V can all show based on the scenarios for Place above. But also, if The Strategist and Jimmy V do not earn a Trifecta, Atwork can Show with a Trifecta. Show may end in a tie because it is not subject to postseason tiebreakers (no Purse is on the line).

For the Analyst with No Claim

Sponge Mom has a 3 Correct Pick lead on KateTDid. All other Analysts have secured Claims to Home Teams for Super Trifecta Bowl VII.

If either wins The Seeders’ Cup, the other becomes the Analyst with No Claim despite how the AoY ends. KateTDid currently has a 3 Trifecta point edge on Sponge Mom in The Seeders’ Cup, but both trail the leader by 10+ points.

If the Analyst with No Claim comes down to the Analyst of the Year standings, then Sponge Mom keeps her Claim with a Trifecta OR if KateTDid does not earn a Trifecta. Due to the Correct Pick differential (+/-3), KateTDid retains her Claim only if she earns a Trifecta and Sponge Mom does NOT get a Trifecta, thereby swapping twelfth and thirteenth positions.

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Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup VII | Leg 3

Playoff-Clinching Scenarios Week 16

Using the NFL.com official projections, the following teams have clinched playoff divisions or berths: Chiefs (AFC West), Packers (NFC North), Bills (AFC East), Steelers (berth), Saints (berth), and Seahawks (berth). These 15 Seeder points (3 divisions and 6 playoff berths) are off the table (of the 52 maximum).

For the Seeders Cup, we review only Win scenarios that earn Seeders points (not tie or loss), but Analysts can earn Seeders points if a Pick backs into a playoff seed in a lame Trifecta. A plus (+) indicates two or more outcomes must happen while an “OR” separate two or more possibilities.

AFC Playoff Seeds

Chiefs clinch first-round bye (+7) with Win

Steelers clinch AFC North (+3) with Win

Titans clinch AFC South (+3) with Win + Colts loss

Titans clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win

Browns clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Ravens loss/tie OR Win + Dolphins loss/tie OR Win + Colts loss

Colts clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Ravens loss/tie OR Win + Dolphins loss/tie

NFC Playoff Seeds

Packers clinch first-round bye (+7) with Win + Seahawks loss/tie

Saints clinch NFC South (+3) with Win

Seahawks clinch NFC West (+3) with Win.

Buccaneers clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win

Rams clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win

Cardinals clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Bears loss/tie

Not on the Slate of Games:

Football Team clinches NFC East with Win + Giants loss/tie

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Scenarios | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 16

Analyst of the Year VII

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 15
Standings after Week 15 of Analyst of the Year VII

Below are the scenarios for Win, Place and Last Place.

Win Scenarios

Wise Orangutan has a 2 Trifecta lead on Craft Brew and The Strategist. All other Analysts have been eliminated from the Win in previous weeks.

In Week 16, if Wise O. earns a Trifecta, he eliminates both Craft Brew and The Strategist (holding a 2 Trifecta lead with one week to go). Likewise, if both Craft Brew and The Strategist fail to earn Trifectas, they will be eliminated from the Win.

If Wise O. does not earn a Trifecta, then Craft Brew and The Strategist can stay in the hunt for the Win with a Trifecta.

Place Scenarios

Craft Brew and The Strategist are in close contention for Place, with The Strategist holding a narrow 1 Correct Pick lead. To clinch Place in Week 16, an Analyst will need a 1 Trifecta and 4 Correct Pick lead. Only The Strategist is in position to do this, and only if Craft Brew gets 0 Correct Picks and Jimmy V does not get a Trifecta.

If Craft Brew or The Strategist earn a Trifecta, then Jimmy V and Big Tuna must earn a Trifecta to stay in contention for Place. Atwork and B-Reezy will also be eliminated in that case.

If both Craft Brew and The Strategist do NOT earn Trifectas, Jimmy V and Big Tuna remain in contention in Week 17 with or without a Trifecta in Week 16. Atwork and B-Reezy must also earn a Trifecta in Week 16 to stay in race to Place.

Last Place Scenarios (Super Trifecta Bowl Claims)

Little Tuna and Atwork cannot finish in last place. Currently, KateTDid trails her nearest competitor, Sponge Mom, by 3 Correct Picks. In addition, other Analysts with 5 or fewer Trifectas remain at risk of losing Claim to their regular season Home Team if KateTDid and Sponge Mom go on Trifecta runs. Lastly, if the Analyst in last place in the AoY should win The Seeders’ Cup, then the twelfth, eleventh, or even tenth place Analyst in the AoY can lose a Claim during the Super Trifecta Bowl.

Securing a Claim: B-Reezy can secure a Claim this week with a Trifecta (since he can’t finish in last place). If KateTDid earns a Trifecta this week, Sponge Mom must also earn a Trifecta to stay ahead of her. If both KateTDid and Sponge Mom earn Trifectas this week, then The Bookie and Roxy Trot must earn Trifectas to stay ahead of Sponge Mom (she has more Correct Picks to start the week). Woody will be safe for one more week because she has a 1 Trifecta and 4 Correct Pick lead on KateTDid, but her lead would narrow to 3 or fewer Correct Picks without a Trifecta.

If both KateTDid and Sponge Mom do not earn Trifectas, B-Reezy earns a Claim. In addition, Roxy Trot, The Bookie, and Woody can secure a Claim if they earn a fifth Trifecta (by virtue of a 2 Trifecta lead with one week to go).

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Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup VII | Leg 2

Playoff-Clinching Scenarios Week 15

Using the NFL.com official projections, the following teams have clinched playoff divisions or berths: Chiefs (AFC West), Packers (NFC North), Steelers (berth), and Saints (berth). These 10 Seeder points (2 divisions and 4 playoff berths) are off the table (of the 52 maximum).

For the Seeders Cup, we review only Win scenarios that earn Seeders points (not tie or loss), but Analysts can earn Seeders points if a Pick backs into a playoff seed in a lame Trifecta. A plus (+) indicates two or more outcomes must happen while an “OR” separate two or more possibilities.

AFC Playoff Seeds

Chiefs clinch first-round bye (+7) with Win + Steelers loss + Bills loss/tie

Bills clinch AFC East (+3) with Win

Steelers clinch AFC North (+3) with Win

Titans clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Ravens loss

NFC Playoff Seeds

Saints clinch NFC South (+3) with Win

Rams clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win

Seahawks clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win.

Buccaneers clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Vikings/Bears Tie

Analyst of the Year Week 15 Scenarios

In Week 14, Wise O. built a 2 Trifecta lead, while Jimmy V and Big Tuna secured Claims in the Super Trifecta Bowl (both cannot finish in last place in the AoY).

If Wise O. earns a Trifecta, Jimmy V and Big Tuna are eliminated from the Win, and The Strategist and Craft Brew must earn Trifectas to stay in contention for the Win. If he fails to add a Trifecta, Jimmy V and Big Tuna must earn Trifectas to stay in contention for the Win.

The Strategist and Craft Brew have a 3 Trifecta lead on Atwork, B-Reezy, Roxy Trot, The Bookie, and Woody. If either earns a Trifecta, all five Analysts are eliminated from Place. If both do not earn Trifectas, then each (individually) must earn a Trifecta to stay in contention for Place.

B-Reezy, The Bookie, and Woody were eliminated from the Win in Week 14 (Previous weeks: Atwork, Roxy Trot, Sponge Mom, KateTDid, and Little Tuna). Sponge Mom and Little Tuna were eliminated from Place in Week 14, joining KateTDid as out of reach of AoY Purse in Season VII.

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Scenarios | Fibonacci Stakes VII | Leg 4

Current Standings | Fibonacci Stakes VII

Fibonacci Stakes VII | Standings | Leg 3
Standings after Leg 3 of Fibonacci Stakes VII

Headed into the far turn, Wise Orangutan (24 points) is five lengths ahead of second place The Strategist (19 points). Third place is currently shared by four Analysts at 15 points each. The complete Standings are here.

Leg 4 may award up to 15 points (6 *base* plus 3 *bonus* per Fibonacci Pick). Leg 5 may award up to 21 points (6 *base* plus 5 *bonus* per Fibonacci Pick). To remain in contention in Leg 5, Analysts must be within 21 points of the leader after Leg 4. Currently, Wise O. has a 21 point lead on two Analysts, so they must keep pace or outperform Wise O. in Leg 4.

Scenarios

Wise O. cannot Win this week. The Strategist is too close to be eliminated. He can eliminate other Analysts,however, so we will consider the possible point situation. He has a unique set of Picks from Leg 3 (Browns, Steelers, Seahawks) so no Analyst is Boxed Out unless Picks are changed (his or others).

With a 15-point Trifecta (*base* Trifecta with 3 Fibonacci), Wise O. could reach 39 points. The minimum to remain in contention will then be 18 points after Leg 4. Analysts in third place would then need 3 or more points (*lame* Trifecta or better), while the Analysts at the rear will need 15-point Trifectas, to remain in contention.

With a 12-point Trifecta (*base* Trifecta with 2 Fibonacci), Wise O. could reach 36 points. The minimum to remain in contention will then be 15 points after Leg 4. All Analysts in third place would remain in contention regardless of points earned in Leg 4. Analysts currently below 15 points, will have to make up the difference with a combination of Trifectas and Fibonacci bonuses.

With a 9-point Trifecta (*base* Trifecta with 1 Fibonacci or *lame* Trifecta with 2 Fibonacci), Wise O. could reach 33 points. The minimum to remain in contention will then be 12 points after Leg 4. Those Analysts currently at 11 points or fewer, will then need at least a *lame* Trifecta with 1 or 2 Fibonacci bonuses.

If Wise O. scores less than 9 points, he may give up the lead to another Analyst who reaches 30 to 31 points. Thus, Analysts should aim to reach 9 to 10 points at a minimum to remain in contention for the Win (or Place) in Leg 5.

Analyst of the Year

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 11
Standings after Week 11 of Analyst of the Year VII

Scenario

Wise O. (7 Trifectas) has had three straight Trifectas and will be going for a fourth this week.

If he gets the fourth straight Trifecta, Roxy Trot (1 Trifecta) will be eliminated (6 Trifectas behind with only five weeks to go). Also, KateTDid and Sponge Mom (2 Trifectas) must also earn Trifectas to remain in content for the Win (to be 5 Trifectas behind with 5 weeks to go).

If he does not get a Trifecta, Roxy Trot must earn a Trifecta to remain in contention for the Win (to be 5 Trifectas behind with 5 weeks to go).

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Scenarios | Player Haters Preakness VII | Leg 4

Current Standings | Player Haters Preakness VII

Player Haters Preakness VII | Standings | Leg 3
Standings after Leg 3 of Player Haters Preakness VII

Woody leads by One Correct Home Team Pick over Wise O., while both lead by only 3 points over the next closest competitors. See the complete summary of standings here.

The Slate of Games in Leg 4 presents two problems. First, there are only 5 games featuring un-Claimed teams so a Player Haters Trifecta for 12- or 18- points will be less likely. But also, with four head-to-head games and nine games total, a *lame* Trifecta for 3 points may be more difficult for the leaders.

Scenarios

Eighteen points is the maximum possible in a Leg of the Player Haters Preakness, and that is only possible with 3 Player Hater Picks.

For the Win or Place: No Analyst is eliminated.

Woody largely controls her own destiny. If she earns a 6 point Trifecta (any 3 Correct Picks) she reaches 21 points. Only Wise O. could tie her with a regular Trifecta, but he would need a Browns Correct Pick and for Woody to have no Correct Pick for the Seahawks to force a tiebreaker on turnovers per game. If Woody or Wise O. reaches 21 points total, Atwork, B-Reezy, and The Strategist would need a 12-point Player Hater Trifecta to overtake her. Jimmy V would need a 12-point Player Hater Trifecta and a Correct Home Team Pick to Tie her. Craft Brew, Roxy Trot, Sponge Mom, Big Tuna, Little Tuna, and KateTDid would need a 18-point Player Hater Trifecta to overtake her. The Bookie will be eliminated if any Analyst reaches 19 points or more.

If Woody gets a *lame* 3-point Trifecta, then the home stretch opens up. Wise O. can Win with a 6-point Trifecta. If Wise O. also gets a 3-point Trifecta (for 18 total by both), then Atwork, B-Reezy, and The Strategist would need only a 6-point Trifecta to force a tiebreaker (The Strategist has an edge in this case with 2 Correct Home Team Picks currently). Jimmy V would need a 12-point Player Hater Trifecta to overtake the lead. Craft Brew, Roxy Trot, Sponge Mom, Big Tuna, and Little Tuna would need only a 12-point Player Hater Trifecta for 18 total points and force a photo finish on tiebreakers. KateTDid and The Bookie would need a 18-point Player Hater Trifecta to force a decision on Tiebreakers.

If Woody and Wise O. bust Trifectas (0 points), then the Preakness can be won with 15 points on tiebreakers. Woody current has 1 Correct Home Team Pick and Wise O. has none. If an Analysts has less than 9 points after Leg 3, a 12-point Player Hater Trifecta is needed to Win. The Bookie (currently 0 points) still needs a 18-point Player Hater Trifecta to become competitive.

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Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup VI | Leg 4

Slate of Games

The Slate of Games for Leg 4:

The Seeders' Cup VI | Slate of Games | Leg 4
Slate of Games for Leg 4 of The Seeders’ Cup VI

Clinched (or Seeder Points Off the Table)

Ravens won AFC homefield advantage (week 16).

Saints won division title (week 13), Chiefs won division title (Week 14), Ravens won division title (week 15), Patriots won division title (week 16), and Packers won division title (week 16).

Ravens won a playoff berth (week 14), Bills won a playoff berth (week 15), Patriots won a playoff berth (week 15), Packers won a playoff berth (week 15), 49ers won a playoff berth (week 15), Seahawks won a playoff berth (week 15), and Vikings won a playoff berth (week 16).

Playoff-Clinching Scenarios

Playoff-clinching scenarios per NFL.com and the potential *bonus* Seeders points:

NFC Homefield Advantage (4 points)

49ers clinch with (a) Win, or (b) Tie AND Packers loss/tie AND Saints loss/tie

Packers clinch with (a) Win AND 49ers loss/tie, or (b) Tie AND 49ers loss AND Saints loss/tie

Saints clinch with (a) Win AND Packers loss/tie AND 49ers loss/tie, or (b) Tie AND Packers loss AND 49ers loss

Seahawks clinch with (a) Win AND Packers loss/tie AND Saints loss/tie

NFC First-Round Bye (3 points)

Packers clinch with (a) Win, or (b) Saints loss/tie, or (c) Tie AND 49ers loss, or (d) Packers tie and Saints tie

49ers clinch with (a) Tie AND Packers loss/tie or (b) Tie AND Saints loss/tie

Saints clinch with (a) Win AND Packers loss/tie or (b) Win AND 49ers loss/tie, or (c) Tie AND Packers loss, or (d) Tie AND 49ers loss, or (e) 49ers loss AND Packers win/tie

Seahawks clinch with (a) Win AND Packers loss

AFC First-Round Bye (3 points)

Patriots clinch with (a) Win/Tie or (b) Chiefs loss/tie

Chiefs clinch with (a) Win AND Patriots loss

Division Title (2 points)

Seakawks clinch with (a) Win

Cowboys clinch with (a) Win AND Eagles loss

Play Berth (1 point)

Steelers clinch with (a) Win/Tie AND Titans loss/tie, or (b) Tie AND Titans loss, or (c) Titans loss AND Colts win AND Raiders loss/tie, or (d) Titans loss AND Colts win AND Steelers tie Raiders in strength-of-victory tiebreaker (see nfl.com link above)

Analyst of the Year | Eliminations

Atwork and Jimmy V are tied at 10 Trifectas on the season. Since Atwork leads Jimmy V by 3 Correct Picks, the Marathon of the Ass cannot end in a tie after Week 17. Atwork Wins if (a) he earns an 11th Trifecta, or (b) Jimmy V does not earn a Trifecta. Jimmy V Wins if (a) he earns a Trifecta AND Atwork does not earn a Trifecta.

Craft Brew leads B-Reezy by 1 Trifecta and 2 Correct Picks for the Show. If (a) Craft Brew earns a Trifecta, he Shows or (b) if B-Reezy does not earn a Trifecta, Craft Brew Shows. BUT, If B-Reezy earns a Trifecta and Craft Brew does not earn a Trifecta, then (c) Craft Brew Shows if he earns 2 Correct Picks, or (d) B-Reezy Shows if Craft Brew does not earn any Correct Picks, or (e) Craft Brew and B-Reezy tie for the Show if Craft Brew earns 1 Correct Pick (there will be no playoff since there is no Purse for Show).

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Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup VI | Leg 3

Slate of Games

The Slate of Games for Leg 3:

The Seeders' Cup VI | Slate of Games | Leg 3
Slate of Games for Leg 3 of The Seeders’ Cup VI

Clinched (or Seeder Points Off the Table)

Ravens won division title (week 15), Chiefs won division title (Week 14), and Saints won division title (week 13).

Ravens won a playoff berth (week 14), Bills won a playoff berth (week 15), Patriots won a playoff berth (week 15), Packers won a playoff berth (week 15), 49ers won a playoff berth (week 15), and Seahawks won a playoff berth (week 15).

Playoff-Clinching Scenarios

Playoff-clinching scenarios per NFL.com and the potential *bonus* Seeders points:

Homefield Advantage (4 points)

Ravens clinch with (a) Win, or (b) Tie AND Patriots loss/tie, or (c) Chiefs loss/tie AND Patriots loss

First-Round Bye (3 points)

Ravens clinch with (a) Tie, or (b) Chiefs loss/tie, or (c) Patriots loss

Patriots clinch with (a) Win AND Chiefs loss/tie, or (b) Tie AND Chiefs loss

Division Title (2 points)

Patriots clinch with (a) Win

Packers clinch with (a) Win/Tie

Cowboys clinch with (a) Win

Play Berth (1 point)

Vikings clinch with (a) Win/Tie, or (b) Rams loss/tie

Analyst of the Year | Eliminations

Analysts have to be within 1 Trifecta of the leader, Jimmy V, to remain in contention for the Win in the Marathon of the Ass in Week 17. If Jimmy V earns an 11th Trifecta, (a) Atwork must earn a 10th Trifecta to stay in contention for the Win and (b) Craft Brew is eliminated for the Win. If Jimmy V‘s Trifecta busts, (a) Atwork remains in contention for the Win with or without a Trifecta and (b) Craft Brew must earn a 9th Trifecta to stay in contention for the Win.

Analysts have to be within 1 Trifecta of the second place Analyst, Atwork, to remain in contention for Place in the Marathon of the Ass in Week 17. If Atwork earns a 10th Trifecta, (a) Craft Brew must earn a 9th Trifecta and (b) B-Reezy is eliminated for the Place. If Atwork‘s Trifecta busts, (a) Craft Brew remains eligible for one more week with or without a Trifecta, and (b) B-Reezy must earn an 8th Trifecta to stay in contention for the Place.

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