Super Trifecta Bowl IX
The column labeled “Conference” at the right shows the seed and short name of the teams in the Conference Championships. Analysts will be Picking Three from these two games PLUS the two teams that make it to TGWSNBN at the far right. Three Correct Picks in the Conference and TGWSNBN games makes a Conference Trifecta (+6 Trifecta Points).
Slate of Games
Analysts with No Claim AND Analysts whose Home Team has been eliminated from the playoffs may Pick Three from any of the 2 teams in the World Football Championship (TGWSNBN). Analysts with a Claim may Pick her Home Team to Win!
Bonus Points for Each Analyst (With a Home Team Claim by Current Standing)
Roxy Trot (20 Trifecta Points, 12 Base [1st Tiebreaker])
Roxy Trot must Pick the Eagles to Win.
She also controls the Reverse PC-Fecta points with a 31-7 Eagles victory in the Conference Championships (+3). If the Eagle Win, she will earn a *lame* Trifecta (+3) and secure the Reverse PC-Fecta points in the Championship Round for 26 points total. No other Analyst can reach more than 24 points, so she will Win with an Eagles victory. In other words, Roxy Trot has at least a 50% chance of Winning the Super Trifecta Bowl!
If the Eagles suffer defeat, she still has more-than-likely shot at a Win in the Super Trifecta Bowl — if she retains the Reverse PC-Fecta points (Chiefs do not Win by at least 32 to 6 points), Roxy Trot will have a minimum of 23 points before Prescience points. If the Chiefs take the offense or defense Reverse PC-Fecta, then Roxy Trot will reach only 21 to 22 points (before Prescience). The outcome that may defeat Roxy Trot is then a Chiefs victory with 32 offensive points, reducing her score to 22 points.
Therefore, we present Scenarios for other Analysts’ outcomes in the case that the Chiefs Win and Roxy Trot scores no more than 22 points (but also see below regarding Prescience points)…
Boo Boo (18 Trifecta Points, 12 Base [1st Tiebreaker])
Boo Boo must Pick the Chiefs to Win. If they do, Boo Boo completes a *base* Trifecta for 6 points to reach 21 points total. But, Roxy will still have 23 points with all 4 Reverse PC-Fecta points. So, her Chiefs also need to score 32 points or more in victory in order for to steal 1 Reverse PC-Fecta point. If that happens both Boo Boo and Roxy Trot will have 22 points each, and Boo Boo will own the first tiebreaker with 15 Base Trifecta Scores vs. 12 Base Trifecta Scores for Roxy Trot.
For Boo Boo, 22 points may not be enough if Roxy Trot or one of the Analysts below earn more Prescience points than she does. So, we consider other Analysts in the scenario where the Chiefs are victorious and both Boo Boo and Roxy Trot finish at 22 points…
Bookie (17 Trifecta Points, 9 Base [1st Tiebreaker])
Bookie cannot Win on tiebreakers against either Roxy Trot or Boo Boo. She She can earn all 6 Prescience points to reach 23 points. If she Predicts the Chiefs accurately, she could Win. If she Predicts the Eagles accurately, she could Place.
Bookie (17 Trifecta Points, 9 Base [1st Tiebreaker])
Bookie cannot Win on tiebreakers against either Roxy Trot or Boo Boo. She had two Incorrect Picks in the Conference Championships and is not able to add a *lame* Trifecta. Bookie can earn all 6 Prescience points to reach 23 points. If she Predicts the Chiefs accurately, she could Win by 1 point. If she Predicts the Eagles accurately, she could Place. Both outcomes assume neither Roxy Trot and Boo Boo do not earn Prescience points (if two Analysts share the same best prediction, both Analysts earn Prescience points).
Wreck It Ralph (15 Trifecta Points, 12 Base [1st Tiebreaker])
Wreck It Ralph needs one Correct Pick to earn a *lame* Trifecta (+3). If he also earns all 6 Prescience points, that will take him to 24 points. If he Predicts an Eagles victory, he can finish in Place. If he Predicts the Chiefs, he can Win if Roxy Trot and Boo Boo do not earn Prescience points.
The Strategist (13 Trifecta Points, 12 Base [1st Tiebreaker])
The Strategist needs one Correct Pick to earn a *base* Trifecta (+3). If she also earns all 6 Prescience points, that will take her to 22 points total. If she Predicts an Eagles victory, she can Place or Show depending on the outcome for Bookie and Wreck It Ralph. If she Predicts the Chiefs, she can tie Roxy Trot and Boo Boo at 22 points in the Scenario favoring Boo Boo above. Both with have 15 Base Trifecta Scores, so the outcome will be determined by weaker tiebreakers (but we are not running Scenarios for second tiebreakers, so let the Winner be a minor mystery for now…)
We leave it at that…
For all other Analysts, 18 or more Trifecta Points to have a shot at the Win!
