Scenarios | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 5

Fibonacci Stakes Leg 5 Scenarios:

Current Standings

Standings | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 4
Standings after Leg 4 of Fibonacci Stakes III

Visitors: Rules for the Fibonacci Stakes can be found in the menu under Quaternary Crown.

In the final calculations of the Fibonacci Stakes, all all but one Analyst (see #7 below) remains in contention for The Winner’s Circle. With 5 base trifecta points and 3 bonus trifecta points at stake in Leg 5, an Analyst can come from behind to win with 8 points and as few as 5 points.

B-Reezy has positioned himself for the homestretch, but needs a trifecta with at least one Fibonacci bonus to cross the finish line unchallenged.

Beware the Box Out! If an Analyst with more points has the same three picks, there is no way to overtake the Analyst in the lead to start the homestretch!

Below are the most likely scenarios for the final leg of the Fibonacci Stakes:

  1. B-Reezy (8 points) shows the lead with three full lengths between him and his closest challengers. He needs only 6 points (one same pick from Leg 4) to put the rest of the field out of reach. He has the weakest Tiebreakers, however, and will lose in every head-to-head tie with the other Analysts.
  2. The Bookie (5 points) has the strongest Tiebreaker portfolio and will beat nearly every other Analyst in a tie (she cannot tie with Little Tuna). She can run for 8 points (same three picks as Leg 4) and race only B-Reezy or Atwork at the finish line. If she runs for 5 points (no Fibonacci bonuses), she could let Wise Orangutan slip past on the outside rail.
  3. Atwork (5 points) has a weak Tiebreaker set, so his best chance is for B-Reezy and The Bookie to falter while picking up a trifecta of 7 points in value. Big Tuna chases one length behind, but the fish has a weaker Tiebreaker set at the moment.
  4. Big Tuna (4 points) is the first of the Analysts who can win only if B-Reezy fails to get a trifecta. In addition, he has a weak Tiebreaker portfolio and may need to put clear distance between himself and the last challengers.
  5. Wise Orangutan (3 points) has a modest Tiebreaker resume and can beat Big Tuna and Atwork at the line. He needs B-Reezy and The Bookie to spit the bit in the homestretch if he hopes to stand in the winners’ circle.
  6. Little Tuna, Kal Krome, and The Strategist (0 points) need all of the above Analysts to fail to Pick Three and then also to Let ‘Em Ride (take the same three teams as last week) in order to win. If one or more end in a tie with B-Reezy, the strength of Tiebreakers as they stand currently comes in this order: Little Tuna, Kal Krome, The Strategist, and B-Reezy.
  7. Three Analysts had both the Cowboys and Vikings last week. Those Analysts have to choose between the two teams or two other teams. That limits their point totals for this week to 7 points — effectively eliminating The Strategist. The Bookie and Atwork, currently contesting second place, are also limited to 7 points this week and 12 points total in the Fibonacci Stakes.

Will B-Reezy’s “good trip” come to a sudden halt or will the wily long-strider claim a Crown with his season-long strategy?!!?

***** SCENARIO UPDATE AFTER PICKS AND TNF *****

  1. The Strategist was eliminated before the homestretch as she could not Let ‘ Em Ride (pick the same three teams) out of the far turn (Leg 4).
  2. B-Reezy boxes out Little Tuna and eliminates her from the Fibonacci Stakes. Both Analysts have the same Picks, so they advance or fall back together.
  3. After another dramatic ending that is ill-measured by the W-L column, Atwork fails to advance on B-Reezy down the homestretch after the Norsemen struggle to plunder the Texas Marshals. He has been eliminated.
  4. Five Analysts remain in contention heading into the early games on Sunday….

***** SUNDAY EARLY GAME SCENARIOS *****

Game of the Day: Bills at Raiders
All of the Analysts not named B-Reezy who picked the Seahawks need the Bills to beat the Raiders. If the Raiders win, B-Reezy boxes out the field with the exception of The Bookie.B-Reezy’s (and Little Tuna’s) homestretch run of course hinges on the Raiders win and/or Seahawks loss. The Bookie right now has the open lane since she did not take the Seahawks, but her Dolphins must beat the Ravens at home.

 

***** SUNDAY LATE GAME SCENARIOS *****

 

1. Big Tuna’s and The Strategist’s last ditch Ram-ming down the homestretch is gunned down by the Patriots.
2. The Bookie faces mortality as the Ravens deal a deathblow to the Dolphins in the final push.

 

Only one Analyst appears to be within Charg(er)-ing distance of the frontrunner B-Reezy. B-Reezy can box out Wise Orangutan with a win by the Raiders, or he can trot across the finish line with a loss by the Chragers or the Seahawks. Wise O. needs a good trip down the homestretch with wins by the Chargers, Bills, and Seahawks if he hopes to close the distance!
***** SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME SCENARIOS *****

 

B-Reezy continues his sprint to the finish line of the Fibonacci Stakes. The Raiders secured his quote, dominance, unquote, over the league in Year 3 after the Wise Orangutan trips over his Home Team selection from the 1978-79 professional football season (!).

Heading into the SNF, B-Reezy wins with a Seahawks victory or loss, while Little Tuna shows legs and may come from behind to place in the Fibonacci Stakes if the Seahawks win.

All marvel as B-Reezy wins his first Crown!

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