Category: Analyst of the Year

Scenarios | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 17

Analyst of the Year VII

See complete Week 16 Standings here.

For the Win

As the last two competitors for the championship, Wise Orangutan has a 1 Trifecta and 1 Correct Pick lead on Craft Brew. In Week 17, if Wise O. gets a Trifecta OR Craft Brew does NOT get a Trifecta, Wise O. Wins.

If Wise O. gets only 2 Correct Picks, Craft Brew can tie him for the lead and send the Analyst of the Year to a post-season playoff (2nd tiebreaker).

If Wise O. gets 1 or 0 Correct Picks, Craft Brew can Win with a Trifecta and Wise O. will Place.

For Place

Craft Brew leads The Strategist by 1 Trifecta and 0 Correct Picks and Jimmy V by 1 Trifecta and 2 Correct Picks. If Craft Brew earns a Trifecta he will either Win (see above) or Place. If both The Strategist and Jimmy V do not get Trifectas then Craft Brew does no worse than Place.

If Craft Brew does not get a Trifecta (2 or fewer Correct Picks), The Strategist can Place with a Trifecta.

BUT, if both Craft Brew and The Strategist do not get Trifectas, then:

  1. If Craft Brew gets 2 Correct Picks, he Places (a Trifecta will not help Jimmy V overcome the -2 Correct Pick disadvantage to start Week 17).
  2. If Craft Brew gets 1 Correct Pick, Jimmy V can tie Craft Brew for Place and force a post-season playoff (2nd tiebreaker) for Place and Show.
  3. If Craft Brew gets 0 Correct Picks, Jimmy V can Place with a Trifecta.

For Show

Craft Brew, The Strategist and Jimmy V can all show based on the scenarios for Place above. But also, if The Strategist and Jimmy V do not earn a Trifecta, Atwork can Show with a Trifecta. Show may end in a tie because it is not subject to postseason tiebreakers (no Purse is on the line).

For the Analyst with No Claim

Sponge Mom has a 3 Correct Pick lead on KateTDid. All other Analysts have secured Claims to Home Teams for Super Trifecta Bowl VII.

If either wins The Seeders’ Cup, the other becomes the Analyst with No Claim despite how the AoY ends. KateTDid currently has a 3 Trifecta point edge on Sponge Mom in The Seeders’ Cup, but both trail the leader by 10+ points.

If the Analyst with No Claim comes down to the Analyst of the Year standings, then Sponge Mom keeps her Claim with a Trifecta OR if KateTDid does not earn a Trifecta. Due to the Correct Pick differential (+/-3), KateTDid retains her Claim only if she earns a Trifecta and Sponge Mom does NOT get a Trifecta, thereby swapping twelfth and thirteenth positions.

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Standings | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 16

Analyst of the Year VII

In the final strides of the homestretch, the top and bottom of the leader board have become two Analyst races!

Wise O. (9 Trifectas and 38 Correct Picks) spits the bit for the third time in four weeks, leaving an opening on the outside rail. Craft Brew (8 Trifectas and 37 Correct Picks) on the strength of 4 Trifectas in five weeks has barreled into second place within striking distance of the Win!

The Strategist (7 Trifectas and 37 Correct Picks) falls into third place, only 2 Correct Picks ahead of Jimmy V (7 Trifectas and 35 Correct Picks) in fourth place. Both remain in contention for Place and Show.

After a lackluster mid-season, Atwork (6 Trifectas and 36 Correct Picks) adds his third straight Trifecta to move into fifth place, 3 Correct Picks before Big Tuna (6 Trifectas and 33 Correct Picks) in sixth place. Atwork maintains a slim opportunity to Show.

B-Reezy (5 Trifectas and 34 Correct Picks) and Woody (5 Trifectas and 34 Correct Picks) share seventh place, 3 Correct Picks ahead of Roxy Trot (5 Trifectas and 31 Correct Picks) in ninth place and 4 Correct Picks ahead of The Bookie (5 Trifectas and 30 Correct Picks) in tenth position. Woody, Roxy Trot, and The Bookie secured Claims in the Super Trifecta Bowl this week.

Little Tuna (4 Trifectas and 31 Correct Picks) adds a Trifecta to move into eleventh position and remains secure in her Claim as the Player Haters Preakness Champion.

So then, the race to the bottom to become the Analyst with No Claim boils down to Sponge Mom (3 Trifectas and 32 Correct Picks) in twelfth place and KateTDid (3 Trifectas and 29 Correct Picks) in thirteenth position — as a fourth Trifecta by either Analysts may determine the outcome!

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 16
Standings after Week 16 of Analyst of the Year VII

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year VII | Tiebreakers | Week 16
Tiebreakers after Week 16 of Analyst of the Year VII

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Scenarios | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 16

Analyst of the Year VII

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 15
Standings after Week 15 of Analyst of the Year VII

Below are the scenarios for Win, Place and Last Place.

Win Scenarios

Wise Orangutan has a 2 Trifecta lead on Craft Brew and The Strategist. All other Analysts have been eliminated from the Win in previous weeks.

In Week 16, if Wise O. earns a Trifecta, he eliminates both Craft Brew and The Strategist (holding a 2 Trifecta lead with one week to go). Likewise, if both Craft Brew and The Strategist fail to earn Trifectas, they will be eliminated from the Win.

If Wise O. does not earn a Trifecta, then Craft Brew and The Strategist can stay in the hunt for the Win with a Trifecta.

Place Scenarios

Craft Brew and The Strategist are in close contention for Place, with The Strategist holding a narrow 1 Correct Pick lead. To clinch Place in Week 16, an Analyst will need a 1 Trifecta and 4 Correct Pick lead. Only The Strategist is in position to do this, and only if Craft Brew gets 0 Correct Picks and Jimmy V does not get a Trifecta.

If Craft Brew or The Strategist earn a Trifecta, then Jimmy V and Big Tuna must earn a Trifecta to stay in contention for Place. Atwork and B-Reezy will also be eliminated in that case.

If both Craft Brew and The Strategist do NOT earn Trifectas, Jimmy V and Big Tuna remain in contention in Week 17 with or without a Trifecta in Week 16. Atwork and B-Reezy must also earn a Trifecta in Week 16 to stay in race to Place.

Last Place Scenarios (Super Trifecta Bowl Claims)

Little Tuna and Atwork cannot finish in last place. Currently, KateTDid trails her nearest competitor, Sponge Mom, by 3 Correct Picks. In addition, other Analysts with 5 or fewer Trifectas remain at risk of losing Claim to their regular season Home Team if KateTDid and Sponge Mom go on Trifecta runs. Lastly, if the Analyst in last place in the AoY should win The Seeders’ Cup, then the twelfth, eleventh, or even tenth place Analyst in the AoY can lose a Claim during the Super Trifecta Bowl.

Securing a Claim: B-Reezy can secure a Claim this week with a Trifecta (since he can’t finish in last place). If KateTDid earns a Trifecta this week, Sponge Mom must also earn a Trifecta to stay ahead of her. If both KateTDid and Sponge Mom earn Trifectas this week, then The Bookie and Roxy Trot must earn Trifectas to stay ahead of Sponge Mom (she has more Correct Picks to start the week). Woody will be safe for one more week because she has a 1 Trifecta and 4 Correct Pick lead on KateTDid, but her lead would narrow to 3 or fewer Correct Picks without a Trifecta.

If both KateTDid and Sponge Mom do not earn Trifectas, B-Reezy earns a Claim. In addition, Roxy Trot, The Bookie, and Woody can secure a Claim if they earn a fifth Trifecta (by virtue of a 2 Trifecta lead with one week to go).

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Standings | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 15

Analyst of the Year VII

Around the near turn of the Marathon of the Ass, the race to the top narrows while the race to the bottom heats up!

Wise O. (9 Trifectas and 36 Correct Picks) stalls, but maintains a two-length lead over his closest rivals. The Strategist (7 Trifectas and 35 Correct Picks) and Craft Brew (7 Trifectas and 34 Correct Picks) remain in second and third place. These the last three Analysts in competition for the Win!

Jimmy V (6 Trifectas and 32 Correct Picks) and Big Tuna (6 Trifectas and 31 Correct Picks) hold fourth and fifth, respectively, but have been eliminated from the Win. They are still well within reach of Place and Show, but may need two Trifectas to close the Correct Picks gap with The Strategist and Craft Brew.

Atwork (5 Trifectas and 33 Correct Picks) and B-Reezy (5 Trifectas and 32 Correct Picks) muscle their way into the top-middle of the field with Trifectas in Week 15. Both must earn Trifectas in the final two weeks to have a chance at Place or Show.

Woody (4 Trifectas and 31 Correct Picks) falls to eighth place, comfortably ahead of Roxy Trot (4 Trifectas 28 Correct Picks) in ninth place and The Bookie (4 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) in tenth position. All three Analysts, however, have been eliminated from Place (3 Trifectas behind with two weeks to go.

Sponge Mom (3 Trifectas and 30 Correct Picks) clings to eleventh place, two heads lead over Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 28 Correct Picks) in twelfth, but now only 3 head lead over KateTDid (3 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks). KateTDid may be able to climb out of the basement to hold her Claim to the mighty, mighty Titans with one or two more Trifectas!

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 15
Standings after Week 15 of Analyst of the Year VII

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year VII | Tiebreakers | Week 15
Tiebreakers after Week 15 of Analyst of the Year VII

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Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup VII | Leg 2

Playoff-Clinching Scenarios Week 15

Using the NFL.com official projections, the following teams have clinched playoff divisions or berths: Chiefs (AFC West), Packers (NFC North), Steelers (berth), and Saints (berth). These 10 Seeder points (2 divisions and 4 playoff berths) are off the table (of the 52 maximum).

For the Seeders Cup, we review only Win scenarios that earn Seeders points (not tie or loss), but Analysts can earn Seeders points if a Pick backs into a playoff seed in a lame Trifecta. A plus (+) indicates two or more outcomes must happen while an “OR” separate two or more possibilities.

AFC Playoff Seeds

Chiefs clinch first-round bye (+7) with Win + Steelers loss + Bills loss/tie

Bills clinch AFC East (+3) with Win

Steelers clinch AFC North (+3) with Win

Titans clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Ravens loss

NFC Playoff Seeds

Saints clinch NFC South (+3) with Win

Rams clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win

Seahawks clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win.

Buccaneers clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Vikings/Bears Tie

Analyst of the Year Week 15 Scenarios

In Week 14, Wise O. built a 2 Trifecta lead, while Jimmy V and Big Tuna secured Claims in the Super Trifecta Bowl (both cannot finish in last place in the AoY).

If Wise O. earns a Trifecta, Jimmy V and Big Tuna are eliminated from the Win, and The Strategist and Craft Brew must earn Trifectas to stay in contention for the Win. If he fails to add a Trifecta, Jimmy V and Big Tuna must earn Trifectas to stay in contention for the Win.

The Strategist and Craft Brew have a 3 Trifecta lead on Atwork, B-Reezy, Roxy Trot, The Bookie, and Woody. If either earns a Trifecta, all five Analysts are eliminated from Place. If both do not earn Trifectas, then each (individually) must earn a Trifecta to stay in contention for Place.

B-Reezy, The Bookie, and Woody were eliminated from the Win in Week 14 (Previous weeks: Atwork, Roxy Trot, Sponge Mom, KateTDid, and Little Tuna). Sponge Mom and Little Tuna were eliminated from Place in Week 14, joining KateTDid as out of reach of AoY Purse in Season VII.

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Standings | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 14

Analyst of the Year VII

Down the homestretch in the Marathon of the Ass, the front runner builds a formidable two-length lead with only three weeks to go!

Wise O. (9 Trifectas and 35 Correct Picks) takes a two-length lead over his closest rivals. A single Trifecta in the final three weeks will likely Crown the Ass!

The Strategist (7 Trifectas and 34 Correct Picks) holds in second place, but Craft Brew (7 Trifectas and 33 Correct Picks) closes the gap in third place. Jimmy V (6 Trifectas and 31 Correct Picks) breaks the tie to hold fourth place, a head in front of Big Tuna (6 Trifectas and 30 Correct Picks) in fifth place. These four Analysts remain in the hunt for the Win, and control the race for Place.

B-Reezy, The Bookie, and Woody have been eliminated from the Win in Week 14. They also give ground to two Analysts coming on strong in the final weeks.

Atwork surges into sixth place with 4 Trifectas and 30 Correct Picks, overtaking B-Reezy (4 Trifectas and 29 Correct Picks) and Woody (4 Trifectas and 29 Correct Picks) in a tie for seventh place. Likewise, following three straight Trifectas, Roxy Trot (4 Trifectas 27 Correct Picks) claws into ninth place, ahead of The Bookie (4 Trifectas and 26 Correct Picks) in tenth position. These Analysts can still Place but need to be flawless (and for second place leaders to be completely flawed).

Sponge Mom (3 Trifectas and 29 Correct Picks) holds eleventh place over Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks). KateTDid (2 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks) will need a string of Trifectas or The Seeders’ Cup to avoid ending in last place!

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 14
Standings after Week 14 of Analyst of the Year VII

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year VII | Tiebreakers | Week 14
Tiebreakers after Week 14 of Analyst of the Year VII

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Standings | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 13

Analyst of the Year VII

Heading into the homestretch in the Marathon of the Ass, Wise Orangutan holds onto the lead but gives ground to Analysts in the middle of the field.

Wise O. (8 Trifectas and 32 Correct Picks) adds only one Correct Pick to his totals after changing to prevent defense to protect his lead. Two-time (she made us say that) AoY Champion The Strategist (7 Trifectas and 32 Correct Picks) remains in second place and gains a Correct Pick on the leader. The Winners’ Circle stalwart Craft Brew (6 Trifectas and 30 Correct Picks) surges into third place with the only Trifecta in Week 13 among the top half of the field (he must have read the personal best/records email!!!).

Season VI runner-up Jimmy V (6 Trifectas and 29 Correct Picks) falls back into a tie for fourth place with former AoY Champion Big Tuna (6 Trifectas and 29 Correct Picks).

On the cusp of elimination — down 4 Trifectas with 4 Weeks to go — B-Reezy (4 Trifectas and 28 Correct Picks) stays in sixth place, only a neck ahead of Woody (4 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) in seventh place. The Bookie (4 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks) keeps her hopes alive for one more week with one of 2 Trifectas in the bottom half of the field.

Five lengths behind the leader with only four weeks to go, Sponge Mom (3 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks), Atwork (3 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks), and Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks) have been eliminated from the Win but still have a mathematical shot at Place for at least one more Week!

A shake up at the back of the field…Roxy Trot (3 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks) climbs out of the basement with her second Trifecta in as many weeks. KateTDid (2 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks) drops into last place, now facing the loss of her Claim to the Titans during the playoffs!

With four weeks to go, the race to the bottom is not over!

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 13
Standings after Week 13 of Analyst of the Year VII

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year VII | Tiebreakers | Week 13
Tiebreakers after Week 13 of Analyst of the Year VII

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Standings | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 12

Analyst of the Year VII

A majority of Analysts (7) earn Trifectas for the first time since Week 4 of the seventh running of the Marathon of the Ass! And, for the first time since Week 8, an Analyst holds the lead two weeks in a row.

With his record-tying fourth Trifecta in a row, Wise Orangutan (8 Trifectas and 31 Correct Picks) clings onto first place, chased closely by two-time (she made us say that) AoY Champion The Strategist (7 Trifectas and 30 Correct Picks) in second place. Season VI runner-up Jimmy V (6 Trifectas and 28 Correct Picks) climbs back into third place, ahead of former AoY Champion Big Tuna (6 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) who slips into fourth place trailing by a head. These four Analysts will likely be in contention to the wire.

In mid-field, needing a string of Trifectas to overtake the leaders, Craft Brew (5 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) moves up one spot to fifth place. B-Reezy (4 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) falls into sixth place, only a neck ahead of Woody (4 Trifectas and 26 Correct Picks) in seventh place.

Five lengths behind the leader with only five weeks to go, Sponge Mom (3 Trifectas and 26 Correct Picks), Atwork (3 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks), Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks) and The Bookie (3 Trifectas and 21 Correct Picks) face elimination from the Win if the leader reaches 9 Trifectas OR if they fail to earn five-straight Trifectas in the home stretch!

KateTDid (2 Trifectas and 22 Correct Picks) falls into twelfth place, now only a neck ahead of Roxy Trot (2 Trifectas and 21Correct Picks). Although these two Analysts have been eliminated from the Win, they have plenty to play for: they can still earn a Claim to a Home Team in the playoffs with a Fibonacci Stakes or Seeders Cup Win — or by finishing ahead of last place in the AoY!

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 12
Standings after Week 12 of Analyst of the Year VII

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year VII | Tiebreakers | Week 12
Tiebreakers after Week 12 of Analyst of the Year VII

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Standings | Analyst of the Year VII | Leg 11

Analyst of the Year VII

The Marathon of the Ass has another change at the top of the leaderboard!

With his third Trifecta in a row, Wise Orangutan (7 Trifectas and 28 Correct Picks) moves into sole possession of first place! Former AoY Champion The Strategist (6 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) in second place and Big Tuna (6 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks) in third place trail by one length.

Jimmy V (5 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks) remains in fourth place, one length in front of B-Reezy (4 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks) in fifth place and Craft Brew (4 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks) in sixth place.

In seventh place, Woody (3 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks) moves into a tie with Atwork (3 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks) Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 22 Correct Picks) in ninth place and The Bookie (3 Trifectas and 19 Correct Picks) in tenth place.

Sponge Mom (2 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks) and KateTDid (2 Trifectas and 20 Correct Picks) remain in eleventh and twelfth place, as well as Roxy Trot (1 Trifecta and 18 Correct Picks) at the rear, are facing elimination from the AoY Win in Week 12!

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 11
Standings after Week 11 of Analyst of the Year VII

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year VII | Tiebreakers | Week 11
Tiebreakers after Week 11 of Analyst of the Year VII

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Standings | Analyst of the Year VII | Leg 10

Analyst of the Year VII

The Marathon of the Ass is living up to its name after the leaderboard is shaken up for the second week in a row!

With the only Trifectas in Week 10, former AoY Champion The Strategist (6 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks) and former marathoner & current ass Wise Orangutan (6 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks) move into a tie for first place!

They overtake Big Tuna (6 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks) in third place by a head. Jimmy V (5 Trifectas and 24 Correct Picks) in fourth place is stripping down to his skivvies for the dramatic finish to the seventh AoY Championship! Either can retake at least a share of the lead with a better week than the current leaders.

In the midfield, B-Reezy (4 Trifectas and 23 Correct Picks) in fifth place continues to lead Craft Brew (4 Trifectas and 22 Correct Picks) by a head. Both remain in serious contention for the coveted jewel of sports analysis.

In seventh place, Atwork (3 Trifectas and 22 Correct Picks) has a strong portfolio of Correct Picks, but will now need 7 Trifectas in a row to tie his record setting pace from last year! In eighth, Woody (3 Trifectas and 21 Correct Picks) remains in solid contention, trailed by Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 20 Correct Picks) in ninth place and The Bookie (3 Trifectas and 18 Correct Picks) in tenth place.

Sponge Mom (2 Trifectas and 21 Correct Picks) and KateTDid (2 Trifectas and 18 Correct Picks) remain in eleventh and twelfth place, with Roxy Trot (1 Trifecta and 17 Correct Picks) looking for a wing and a prayer!

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 10
Standings after Week 10 of Analyst of the Year VII

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year VII | Tiebreakers | Week 10
Tiebreakers after Week 10 of Analyst of the Year VII

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