Fibonacci Stakes III | Week 11 Picks

The Analysts picks are in:

The Bookie: Dolphins*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Big Tuna: Cowboys*/Seahawks*/Rams*
LittleTuna: *Cowboys/Seahawks*/Bears
Wise Orangutan: Cowboys/Seahawks*/Raiders
The Strategist: Rams*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Kal Krome: Seahawks*/Cowboys*/Cardinals
B-Reezy: Cowboys*/Seahawks/Raiders
Atwork: Vikings*/Cowboys*/Seahawks*

Base trifecta is worth 2 points in this leg of the Fibonacci Stakes.

* Denotes Fibonacci bonus picks (none possible in Leg 1).

Race Day Notes:

Thank you all for the privilege I have had to interview each and everyone of you. Your candidness has been appreciated.

For the next 8 weeks I will ask each of you to reflect on your strategies and how they are working.
Our first muse will be from Big Tuna!

Big Tuna: “I should have stuck to college football. Alabama football has never made me feel like I know about as much about football as a five year old princess.” 👸

The Results Are In!

The Bookie: Dolphins*/Cowboys*/Vikings* (5 points)
Big Tuna: Cowboys*/Seahawks*/Rams*
LittleTuna: *Cowboys/Seahawks*/Bears
Wise Orangutan: Cowboys/Seahawks*/Raiders (3 points)
The Strategist: Rams*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Kal Krome: Seahawks*/Cowboys*/Cardinals
B-Reezy: Cowboys*/Seahawks/Raiders (3 points)
Atwork: Vikings*/Cowboys*/Seahawks* (5 points)

Normalcy comes to the football season as five of five teams with winning records notch another victory in the crucial month of November!

The Bookie and Atwork, shaking up** their Home Teams, sprint down the backstretch with 3 Correct Fibonacci bonus picks (5 points).

Analyst of the Year frontrunner B-Reezy (3 points) continues to hold his Home Team off the pace while playing the form of the other Analysts’ horse senses. Wise Orangutan, though boxed out by B-Reezy, follows the leader for 3 points.

Big Tuna and The Strategist suffers another bad “trip”** in the closing furlong of the backstretch as Jeff Fisher gives the Analysts one more insight into football prognostications: Never pick a team whose coach hand rides*** his rookie quarterback.

Little Tuna and Kal Krome add two Correct Picks to hold pace.

* Shake up: Urging by the jockey, either with his hands or the whip, to make the horse run faster.

** Trip: The course followed by a horse and rider during the running of a race and describes the “trouble” encountered. A horse that had a “good trip” did not encounter any unusual difficulty. A “bad trip” might involve racing wide, or being boxed in by other horses.

*** Hand ride: A jockey that is urging a horse on by “scrubbing” his hand up and down its neck. A horse under only a hand ride was not whipped by the jockey.

Mathematically speaking…

The Cowboys, Seahawks, Dolphins, and Vikings offered several different options to maximize Fibonacci bonus points in the 3rd leg of the Fibonacci Stakes. Three picks two weeks in a row with a selection of those teams would have yielded 2 *base* trifecta points and 3 *bonus* trifecta points, for a total of 5 trifecta points and the lead.

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Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 10

Analyst of the Year III

Down the backstretch, the Analyst of the Year competition is shaping up!

It is still B-Reezy showing the lead for the Analyst of the Year with 4 Trifectas and 20 Correct Picks in the season.

Showing surprising foresight while his Home Team was in a bye week, Big Tuna moves into sole possession of second place with 3 Trifectas and a league-leading 21 Correct Picks.

Kal Krome (2 Trifecta Points, 19 Correct Picks) in 3rd place gains an inside track as the Wise Orangutan (2 Trifecta Points, 17 Correct Picks) looks to be spitting the bit for the second straight season.

Moving into a tie for fourth with Wise Orangutan, Atwork (2 Trifecta Points, 17 Correct Picks) appears to be keeping his Home Team under wraps after a blistering pace to start the season.

The Bookie and Little Tuna (each with 1 Trifecta and 16 Correct Picks) now have well-conditioned Home Teams that look playoff worthy, but still remain confused by the rest of the field.

The Strategist (1 Trifecta, 15 Correct Picks) rams into fortunes of a lifetime .500 head coach while her Home Team hand rides its first-round, rookie apprentice jockey (qb) for the first nine weeks of the season.

Trifectas

Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 10
Standings after Leg 10 for the Analyst of the Year III

Correct Picks

Tiebreakers | Analyst of the Year III | Week 10
Tiebreakers after Leg 10 for the Analyst of the Year III

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Standings | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 2

Fibonacci Stakes III

Trifecta Points

Around the first turn, Big Tuna shows the lead with 4 trifecta points. B-Reezy holds fast in second place with 1 trifecta point.

The rest of the field is busily erasing their whiteboards and reformulating their strategies…

Standings | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 2
Standings after Leg 2 of Fibonacci Stakes III

Tiebreakers

The Bookie claims the head-to-head tiebreaker over Wise Orangutan. This week, she takes her fish out of water to face the billy goats in Los Angeles.

Little Tuna, The Bookie, and Kal Krome notch their second Home Teams Selections, poised to sprint from behind to take the lead from the early leaders.

On the outside rail, Wise Orangutan holds a small advantage over The Strategist and Atwork.

Tiebreakers | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 2
Tiebreakers after Leg 2 of Fibonacci Stakes III

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Fibonacci Stakes III | Week 10 Picks

The Analysts picks are in:

The Bookie: Dolphins*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Big Tuna: Cowboys*/Seahawks*/Rams
LittleTuna: Cowboys*/Vikings*/Seahawks*
Wise Orangutan: Chargers*/Jets*/Seahawks*
The Strategist: Rams*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Kal Krome: Seahawks*/Jets*/Cowboys*
B-Reezy: Bears/Vikings/Cowboys*
Atwork: Vikings*/Cowboys*/Seahawks*

* Denotes Fibonacci bonus picks (none possible in Leg 1).

Race Day Notes:

The Bookie will post the gamed day musings in hindsight of one Analyst each week. Wise Orangutan submits these thoughts:

Stupid Jeff Fisher commits to his loser-y quarterback for another week, so I make my pick — Jets will win! Then I learn on Sunday morning that the Jets plan to start a rookie against one of the absolute best defenses in the league. That is a no-brainer…. What is the New York state-of-mind? Did they legalize the 420 goo during the election? Oy vey!

I bet the Jets lose, 9-6. The next week, stupid Jeff Fisher will switch to his rookie quarterback simply because he feels vindicated! The surging Dolphins will then pound his delicate-flower-rookie-quarterback into the grassy turf! Suh-meat!

Are there mulligans in a game of prediction?

The Results Are In!

The Bookie: Dolphins*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Big Tuna: Cowboys*/Seahawks*/Rams (3 points)
LittleTuna: Cowboys*/Vikings*/Seahawks*
Wise Orangutan: Chargers*/Jets*/Seahawks*
The Strategist: Rams*/Cowboys*/Vikings*
Kal Krome: Seahawks*/Jets*/Cowboys*
B-Reezy: Bears/Vikings/Cowboys*
Atwork: Vikings*/Cowboys*/Seahawks*

Boldly picking three Home Teams on the road, Big Tuna takes a second trifecta in the Fibonacci Stakes and distance himself from the plundering Vikings blundering Norsemen of the competition.

The two Analysts who avoided the sinking ship in Minnesota, nonetheless ran their planes off the causeway in LaGuardia airport after a horned beast pushed the Jets into the Hudson.

Most Analysts make two Correct Picks, as Wise Orangutan and B-Reezy settle for one Correct Pick in the tenth week of the season.

Mathematically speaking…

The Cowboys, Seahawks, and Dolphins were the best option in the first two legs of the Fibonacci. Those three picks two weeks in a row would have yielded 1 *base* trifecta points and 3 *bonus* trifecta points, for a total of 4 trifecta points and a share of the lead.

 

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Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 9

Analyst of the Year III

B-Reezy continues his blistering pace for the Analyst of the Year! Establishing a two length lead, B-Reezy scores his fourth Trifecta and 19th Correct Pick of the season.

Big Tuna makes his move in the third leg of the annual competition, surging from the back of the pack to hold second place with 2 Trifectas and 18 Correct Picks.

After another tough week, Kal Krome (2 Trifecta Points, 17 Correct Picks), Wise Orangutan (2 Trifecta Points, 16 Correct Picks) and Atwork (2 Trifecta Points, 15 Correct Picks) hold their early advantages over the back of the pack.

The Strategist, The Bookie, and Little Tuna (each with 1 Trifecta) are looking at early pastur-ization in the Analyst of the Year competition if they do not compete down to the wire in the Fibonacci Stakes!

Trifectas

Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 9
Standings after Leg 9 for the Analyst of the Year III

Correct Picks

Tiebreakers | Analyst of the Year III | Week 9
Tiebreakers after Leg 9 for the Analyst of the Year III

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Standings | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 1

Fibonacci Stakes III

Trifecta Points

Tied for first place, Big Tuna and B-Reezy edge into an early lead in the third annual Fibonacci Stakes.

The rest of the field mulls its first week calculations…

Standings | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 1
Standings after Leg 1 of Fibonacci Stakes III

Tiebreakers

Despite the slow start, Little Tuna, The Bookie, Wise Orangutan and Kal Krome wisely picked their Home Teams in week 1.

The Strategist and Atwork trail the field out of the chute.

Tiebreakers | Fibonacci Stakes III | Leg 1
Tiebreakers after Leg 1 of Fibonacci Stakes III

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Fibonacci Stakes III | Week 9 Picks

The Analysts picks are in:

The Bookie: Dolphins/Cowboys/Vikings
Big Tuna: Cowboys/Panthers/Seahawks
LittleTuna: Cowboys/Vikings/Seahawks
Wise Orangutan: Chargers/Jets/Seahawks
The Strategist: Rams/Cowboys/Vikings
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Jets/Cowboys
B-Reezy: Cowboys/Seahawks/Raiders
Atwork: Vikings/Cowboys/Seahawks

* Denotes Fibonacci bonus picks (none possible in Leg 1).

Race Day Notes:

Each week The Bookie will interview one Analyst.
This week the Bookie interviewed The Bookie.

The Bookie: Bookie, after two years, you have never won a purse. Looks like this year will be no different as you’ve only had one trifecta so far. Because you see everyone’s picks before they are posted have you ever thought about changing your picks after you’ve seen theirs? In other words, cheat.

The Bookie: I can’t believe you’d ever question the integrity of The Bookie! I would never *cough* never *cough*…. I’ve got no further comment.

The Bookie: Well goodness, that was a bit of an over reaction. She walked out of the interview! I guess we might never know.

The Results Are In!

The Bookie: Dolphins/Cowboys/Vikings
Big Tuna: Cowboys/Panthers/Seahawks
LittleTuna: Cowboys/Vikings/Seahawks
Wise Orangutan: Chargers/Jets/Seahawks
The Strategist: Rams/Cowboys/Vikings
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Jets/Cowboys
B-Reezy: Cowboys/Seahawks/Raiders
Atwork: Vikings/Cowboys/Seahawks

Big Tuna and B-Reezy secure the first trifectas of the Fibonacci Stakes, as the Vikings and the Jets struggle against the headwinds of prediction.

 

 

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Fibonacci Stakes III | Slate of Games

The Entrants

The Analysts have selected their Home Teams to start the third annual Fibonacci Stakes. The entrants are:

Fibonacci Stakes III | Slate of Analysts and Home Teams
Slate of Analysts and Home Teams for the Fibonacci Stakes III (2016-17)

Slate of Games

Fibonacci Stakes III | Slate of Games
Slate of Games for the Fibonacci Stakes III (2016-17)

The slate of games for the Fibonacci Stake III presents incalculable challenges this year as many playoff caliber teams will test the Home Teams of the Analysts.

In addition, we have three head-to-head clashes between the Analysts’ Home Teams: Dolphins v. Chargers (Leg 2), Dolphins v. Rams (Leg 3), and a clash of current playoff contenders to end the season, Cowboys v. Vikings (Leg 5).

Three teams go on bye weeks during the month, limiting the opportunities to select these teams two weeks in a row: Bears (Leg 1), Raiders (Leg 2), and Chargers (Leg 3). There are fewer than 8 games to pick from in all but one Leg (4).

There also appear to be a few un-owned teams that compete two weeks in a row: Jets (1 and 2), Texans (3 and 4), 49ers (4 and 5), Buccaneers (4 and 5), and Panthers (4 and 5). These un-owned teams may be selected two weeks in a row for the Fibonacci bonus trifecta points.

Home teams owned by an Analyst are in bold. The team at the left is the visiting team; the team at the right is the host (playing at home). There are a half dozen or so featured games, including four Sunday night games of the week (subject change), two Thanksgiving day games, one more Thursday night game, and two Monday night games.

Picks

Remember: Every Analyst has a bias for his or her Home Team and may not pick the sponsored team to lose. Analysts do not have to pick his or her Home Team to win a trifecta. *Bonus* trifecta points are earned for picking the same team two weeks in a row. See the Fibonacci Stakes Rules for more information.

Email three picks to The Bookie before each leg (week) of the Race. The first picks are due on Saturday, November 5.

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Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 8

Analyst of the Year III

Despite another brutal week in the Run of the Black-Eyed Analysts, the current leader B-Reezy nets his 16th Correct Pick to become the clear front-runner (3 Trifecta Points, 16 Correct Picks) at the midway point of the season!

Within one length, Kal Krome clings to second place (2 Trifecta Points, 15 Correct Picks) over Wise Orangutan in third (2 Trifecta Points, 14 Correct Picks) and Atwork in fourth (2 Trifecta Points, 13 Correct Picks).

In fifth, Big Tuna poises for sprint to second place with 1 Trifecta Point and 15 Correct Picks.

The Strategist, The Bookie, and Little Tuna continue to trail the leader with 1 Trifecta Point and, now, 4 fewer Correct Picks (12 each).

Trifectas

Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 8
Standings after Leg 8 for the Analyst of the Year III

Correct Picks

Tiebreakers | Analyst of the Year III | Week 8
Tiebreakers after Leg 8 for the Analyst of the Year III

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Standings | Player Haters Preakness III | Final Results

Player Haters Preakness, 2016-17

Final Standings

The Run of the Black-Eyed Analysts lives up to its billing!

With just over 14 minutes remaining in the fourth quarter, The Big Tuna had all of the odds in his favor. Little Tuna, his last challenger, was down by 10 points, 1st and ten on the 25 yard-line, and according to one win probability calculator had only a 6.4% chance of winning the Preakness.  But, the World Football Trifecta deities intervened, and the winner is….

Big Tuna's Preakness Win Probability in the Final Leg
Little Tuna’s Highest Win Probability in the Final Leg of the Player Haters Preakness

Little Tuna! She takes the Player Haters Preakness 2016-17 for her first win of the third season. After taking an early lead in the first leg, she suckerpunched the competition into submission as her Cowboys went 3-0 in the month. Congratulations LT!

By virtue of the third tiebreaker (1.8 v. 0.7 turnovers per game), Wise Orangutan (2 trifecta points, 0 Correct Home Team Selections) takes second by a nose over The Bookie in third (2 trifecta points, 0 Correct Home Team Selections).

B-Reezy takes fourth place with a single trifecta point.

Bringing up the rear with 0 trifecta points, the unsung challenger Big Tuna takes fifth place after the Eggles lay an egg in overtime against Dallas and he finishes with 1 Correct Home Team Selection and 1.8 turnovers per game.

Completing the field, Atwork takes sixth (1 Correct Home Team Selection, 1.7 turnovers per game), Kal Krome takes seventh (1 Correct Home Team Selection, 1.0 turnovers per game), while The Strategist regresses to the mean on the back of her Rams (0 Correct Home Team Selections, 0.3 turnovers per game).

Trifecta Points

Player Haters Preakness III | Standings | Final Results
Final Results for the Player Haters Preakness III

Tiebreakers

Player Haters Preakness III | Tiebreakers | Final Results
Final Results for Tiebreakers in the Player Haters Preakness III

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