Day: December 23, 2020

Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup VII | Leg 3

Playoff-Clinching Scenarios Week 16

Using the NFL.com official projections, the following teams have clinched playoff divisions or berths: Chiefs (AFC West), Packers (NFC North), Bills (AFC East), Steelers (berth), Saints (berth), and Seahawks (berth). These 15 Seeder points (3 divisions and 6 playoff berths) are off the table (of the 52 maximum).

For the Seeders Cup, we review only Win scenarios that earn Seeders points (not tie or loss), but Analysts can earn Seeders points if a Pick backs into a playoff seed in a lame Trifecta. A plus (+) indicates two or more outcomes must happen while an “OR” separate two or more possibilities.

AFC Playoff Seeds

Chiefs clinch first-round bye (+7) with Win

Steelers clinch AFC North (+3) with Win

Titans clinch AFC South (+3) with Win + Colts loss

Titans clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win

Browns clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Ravens loss/tie OR Win + Dolphins loss/tie OR Win + Colts loss

Colts clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Ravens loss/tie OR Win + Dolphins loss/tie

NFC Playoff Seeds

Packers clinch first-round bye (+7) with Win + Seahawks loss/tie

Saints clinch NFC South (+3) with Win

Seahawks clinch NFC West (+3) with Win.

Buccaneers clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win

Rams clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win

Cardinals clinch playoff berth (+1) with Win + Bears loss/tie

Not on the Slate of Games:

Football Team clinches NFC East with Win + Giants loss/tie

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Scenarios | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 16

Analyst of the Year VII

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 15
Standings after Week 15 of Analyst of the Year VII

Below are the scenarios for Win, Place and Last Place.

Win Scenarios

Wise Orangutan has a 2 Trifecta lead on Craft Brew and The Strategist. All other Analysts have been eliminated from the Win in previous weeks.

In Week 16, if Wise O. earns a Trifecta, he eliminates both Craft Brew and The Strategist (holding a 2 Trifecta lead with one week to go). Likewise, if both Craft Brew and The Strategist fail to earn Trifectas, they will be eliminated from the Win.

If Wise O. does not earn a Trifecta, then Craft Brew and The Strategist can stay in the hunt for the Win with a Trifecta.

Place Scenarios

Craft Brew and The Strategist are in close contention for Place, with The Strategist holding a narrow 1 Correct Pick lead. To clinch Place in Week 16, an Analyst will need a 1 Trifecta and 4 Correct Pick lead. Only The Strategist is in position to do this, and only if Craft Brew gets 0 Correct Picks and Jimmy V does not get a Trifecta.

If Craft Brew or The Strategist earn a Trifecta, then Jimmy V and Big Tuna must earn a Trifecta to stay in contention for Place. Atwork and B-Reezy will also be eliminated in that case.

If both Craft Brew and The Strategist do NOT earn Trifectas, Jimmy V and Big Tuna remain in contention in Week 17 with or without a Trifecta in Week 16. Atwork and B-Reezy must also earn a Trifecta in Week 16 to stay in race to Place.

Last Place Scenarios (Super Trifecta Bowl Claims)

Little Tuna and Atwork cannot finish in last place. Currently, KateTDid trails her nearest competitor, Sponge Mom, by 3 Correct Picks. In addition, other Analysts with 5 or fewer Trifectas remain at risk of losing Claim to their regular season Home Team if KateTDid and Sponge Mom go on Trifecta runs. Lastly, if the Analyst in last place in the AoY should win The Seeders’ Cup, then the twelfth, eleventh, or even tenth place Analyst in the AoY can lose a Claim during the Super Trifecta Bowl.

Securing a Claim: B-Reezy can secure a Claim this week with a Trifecta (since he can’t finish in last place). If KateTDid earns a Trifecta this week, Sponge Mom must also earn a Trifecta to stay ahead of her. If both KateTDid and Sponge Mom earn Trifectas this week, then The Bookie and Roxy Trot must earn Trifectas to stay ahead of Sponge Mom (she has more Correct Picks to start the week). Woody will be safe for one more week because she has a 1 Trifecta and 4 Correct Pick lead on KateTDid, but her lead would narrow to 3 or fewer Correct Picks without a Trifecta.

If both KateTDid and Sponge Mom do not earn Trifectas, B-Reezy earns a Claim. In addition, Roxy Trot, The Bookie, and Woody can secure a Claim if they earn a fifth Trifecta (by virtue of a 2 Trifecta lead with one week to go).

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Standings | Analyst of the Year VII | Week 15

Analyst of the Year VII

Around the near turn of the Marathon of the Ass, the race to the top narrows while the race to the bottom heats up!

Wise O. (9 Trifectas and 36 Correct Picks) stalls, but maintains a two-length lead over his closest rivals. The Strategist (7 Trifectas and 35 Correct Picks) and Craft Brew (7 Trifectas and 34 Correct Picks) remain in second and third place. These the last three Analysts in competition for the Win!

Jimmy V (6 Trifectas and 32 Correct Picks) and Big Tuna (6 Trifectas and 31 Correct Picks) hold fourth and fifth, respectively, but have been eliminated from the Win. They are still well within reach of Place and Show, but may need two Trifectas to close the Correct Picks gap with The Strategist and Craft Brew.

Atwork (5 Trifectas and 33 Correct Picks) and B-Reezy (5 Trifectas and 32 Correct Picks) muscle their way into the top-middle of the field with Trifectas in Week 15. Both must earn Trifectas in the final two weeks to have a chance at Place or Show.

Woody (4 Trifectas and 31 Correct Picks) falls to eighth place, comfortably ahead of Roxy Trot (4 Trifectas 28 Correct Picks) in ninth place and The Bookie (4 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) in tenth position. All three Analysts, however, have been eliminated from Place (3 Trifectas behind with two weeks to go.

Sponge Mom (3 Trifectas and 30 Correct Picks) clings to eleventh place, two heads lead over Little Tuna (3 Trifectas and 28 Correct Picks) in twelfth, but now only 3 head lead over KateTDid (3 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks). KateTDid may be able to climb out of the basement to hold her Claim to the mighty, mighty Titans with one or two more Trifectas!

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year VII | Standings | Week 15
Standings after Week 15 of Analyst of the Year VII

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year VII | Tiebreakers | Week 15
Tiebreakers after Week 15 of Analyst of the Year VII

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