December 2016 - World Football Trifecta League

Scenarios | Seeders’ Cup III | Leg 4

Seeders Cup Leg 4 Scenarios:

Current Standings

Scores | Playoff-Caliber Game | End of Third Quarter — Scores at End of the Third Quarter in the Playoff-Caliber Game (Seeders’ Cup III)

Visitors: Rules for the Seeders’ Cup Playoff-Caliber Game can be found here.

Analysts! In the final calculations of the Seeders’ Cup, all Analysts (see #7 below) remain in contention for The Winner’s Circle.

Per the Slate of Games playoff scenarios, an Analyst could score 18-20 points with a trifecta that includes Oakland, Seattle, and Detroit/Green Bay if all the pieces fall into place. For that to happen, though, Oakland and Seattle must win, Atlanta must lose, and the Analysts will have to pick correctly between Detroit and Green Bay.

Wise Orangutan leads going into the fourth quarter, but he likely will need at least a Field Goal and additional scores to win the playoff-caliber game.

Beware the Box Out! If two Analyst have the same three picks, the Analysts with less points has no way to overtake the Analyst with more points in the final quarter!

Below are the most likely scenarios for the fourth quarter of the Seeders’ Cup Playoff-Caliber Game:

Wise Orangutan (22 points) takes a 6-point into the fourth quarter over his closest challenger. He needs 15 points (a TD and two additional scores) to dominate in the fourth quarter. He is tied for the lead in Tiebreakers and most Analysts will need his Home Team to lose in order to beat him in overtime.
Big Tuna (16 points) is in a strong position as Home Team can clinch a bye-week (4 points) with a win and possibly a home-field advantage (5 points) if New England loses to Miami. A field goal with his Home Team and one other playoff-clinching team will score at least 9 points in the fourth quarter. A touchdown with his Home Team and two additional scores will give him at least 15 points. He also has a strong tiebreaking portfolio if the Playoff-Caliber Game goes to overtime..
The Bookie, Kal Krome, and Atwork (14 points) will need Big Tuna and Wise Orangutan to stumble slightly and also prove clutch in the fourth quarter. A field goal with two additional scores will give each enough to score 23 points. If Big Tuna or Wise Orangutan score a field goal, than these three Analysts will likely need a touchdown and two additional scores (two playoff-clinch picks) to win.
Little Tuna (13 points), The Strategist (11 points), and B-Reezy (9 points) are down by more than a touchdown heading into the fourth quarter. Each need a touchdown and additional scores to take the lead. A field goal with two additional scores will give each enough to score 23 points. If Little Tuna can take the game to overtime, she has the tiebreakers to win the Playoff-Caliber Game. The Strategist and B-Reezy, on the other hand, need to score and score often to win the game.

Note: Again, an Analyst could score 18-20 points with a trifecta that includes Oakland, Seattle, and Detroit/Green Bay if all the pieces fall into place. For that to happen, though, Oakland and Seattle must win, Atlanta must lose, and the Analysts will have to pick correctly between Detroit and Green Bay.

Seeders’ Cup III | Week 17 Picks

Playoff Scenarios | Additional Score Potential

In The Seeders’ Cup, correct picks may award Seed Points, or “additional scoring,” if the team earns a playoff spot. The additional scores by playoff seeding are:

Clinch playoff berth (wildcard) = 2 points.
Clinch division title = 3 points.
Clinch a first-round bye in the playoffs = 4 points.
Clinch home field advantage in playoffs = 5 points.

Current playoff standings and playoff scenarios can be found online courtesy of CBS Sports.

The following teams have a chance to earn Seeder Points with a win:

Oakland = 4 or 5 points
Kansas City = 4 points
Seattle = 4 points
Detroit = 2 or 3 or 4 points
Green Bay = 2 or 3 points

That is five options, but Kansas City or Oakland will earn additional scores (not both), Seattle needs Atlanta to lose in order to score additional points, and Green Bay plays at Detroit.

Off the slate of games, New England, Atlanta, Washington, and Tampa Bay may secure playoff seeding.

See the CBS scenarios to see which other teams must lose or tie for the above teams to secure playoff seeding. Also see the nfl.com articles on the AFC playoff (no update as of 12/28) and NFC playoff race.

The Picks

The Bookie: Packers/Seahawks/Cardinals
Big Tuna: Packers/Seahawks/Cardinals
Little Tuna: Cowboys/Seahawks/Packers
Wise Orangutan: Chiefs/Seahawks/Lions
The Strategist: Cowboys/Seahawks/Lions
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Packers/Eagles
B-Reezy: Chiefs/Seahawks/Lions
Atwork: Vikings/Raiders/Packers

HAPPY NEW YEAR 2017

Pick Results | Final

Chiefs clinched division and bye week (+4 points)
Packers clinched division (+3 points)
Detroit clinched playoff birth (+2 points)

Analysts get the additional scores if at least 2 Picks are correct.

The Bookie: Packers/Seahawks/Cardinals (9 points)
Big Tuna: Packers/Seahawks/Cardinals (9 points)
Little Tuna: ~~Cowboys~~/Seahawks/Packers (6 points)
Wise Orangutan: Chiefs/Seahawks~~/Lions~~ (9 points)
The Strategist: ~~Cowboys~~/Seahawks/~~Lions~~
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Packers/Eagles (11 points)
B-Reezy: Chiefs/Seahawks/~~Lions~~ (7 points)
Atwork: Vikings/~~Raiders~~/Packers (6 points)

In the fourth quarter, Kal Krome scores a touchdown with 2-point conversion and an additional field goal (11 total). The Bookie and Big Tuna score a touchdown, no conversion, and an additional field goal (9 total). Wise Orangutan kicks three field goals for 9 total.

B-Reezy scores 7 points the hard way (field goal and two safeties!), while Little Tuna and Atwork score two field goals (6 points).

The Strategist laments the end of the Jeff Fisher era (0 points).

Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 16

Analyst of the Year III

Ahead by multiple horse lengths, B-Reezy stops to graze (0 Correct Picks). With 7 Trifectas and 33 Correct Picks, his potentially record-setting season now hangs on next weeks Picks.

Big Tuna clings to second place with 4 Trifectas and 32 Correct Picks, leading Wise Orangutan by a head (4 Trifectas and 31 Correct Picks).

Atwork (3 Trifectas and 27 Correct Picks) falls out of the Winner’s Circle. He will be unable to close the distance in Leg 17 of the Analyst of the Year competition.

Kal Krome keeps pace with 2 Trifecta Points and 29 Correct Picks, followed closely by The Bookie (2 Trifecta Points and 28 Correct Picks) and Little Tuna (2 Trifecta Points and 26 Correct Picks).

The Strategist (1 Trifecta and 25 Correct Picks) returns to the greener pasture of Los Angeles for the final game of the season.

Trifectas

Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 16 — Standings after Leg 16 for the Analyst of the Year III

Correct Picks

Tiebreakers | Analyst of the Year III | Week 16 — Tiebreakers after Leg 16 for the Analyst of the Year III

Standings | The Seeders’ Cup III | Playoff-Caliber Game Scoring | End of the Third Quarter

The Seeders’ Cup III

The Seeders’ Cup is testing a new trifecta point system that models the score of a football game. See the Slate of Games and the Playoff-Caliber Game Rules for more information.

Playoff-Caliber Game Score |End of Third Quarter

Wise Orangutan scores a Touchdown (3 Correct Picks) with a two point conversion, and adds a field goal and safety for 13 points. With 22 points, he leads at the end of third quarter in the Playoff-Caliber Game (correct picks here).

Down by 6 at the end of the third quarter, Big Tuna makes a Field Goal (2 Correct Picks) to add to his first half scores for a total of 16 points.

Down by a touchdown and 2-point conversion, The Bookie, Kal Krome, and Atwork add a Field Goal (2 Correct Picks) and additional scores from the Cowboys and Steelers (Atwork only). All three have scored 14 points at the end of the third quarter.

Little Tuna also kicks a Field Goal and adds 5 points with her Home Team Dallas clinching home field advantage in the conference playoffs. She has 13 points to start the fourth quarter.

The Strategist, with 11 points total, and B-Reezy, 9 points total) are within two scores of the leader, but will need a strong fourth quarter to take the Seeders’ Cup Crown.

All 8 Analysts can win the Seeders’ Cup with a clutch drive in the fourth quarter!

Playoff-Caliber Game Tiebreakers

If the Playoff-Caliber Game ends in a tie between two or more Analysts, overtime will be determined by the traditional Tiebreakers in The General Rules and The Seeders’ Cup.

In individual match-ups, Wise Orangutan secured a first tiebreaker over Big Tuna in the first quarter and Kal Krome secured a first tiebreaker over The Strategist. In the third quarter, Little Tuna secures a first tiebreaker over B-Reezy after the Cowboys gun down the Lions.

After three quarters, Little Tuna, Big Tuna, and Wise Orangutan have tallied two Correct Home Team picks for the second tiebreaker. All but The Strategist has at least one Correct Home Team pick.

In Week 16, Dallas earned home-field advantage in the playoffs (5 points), Pittsburgh earned a division title (3 points) and Kansas City clinched a playoff birth (2 points). Ten points were the maximum additional scores, and no Analysts earned all 10 points in the third tiebreaker.

The Bookie, Wise Orangutan, Kal Krome, and Atwork lead the third tiebreaker with 8 seeder points.

Tiebreakers | Playoff-Caliber Game | End of Third Quarter — Tiebreakers at End of the Third Quarter in the Playoff-Caliber Game (Seeders’ Cup III)

Seeders’ Cup III | Week 16 Picks

Playoff Scenarios | Additional Score Potential

In The Seeders’ Cup, correct picks may award Seed Points, or “additional scoring,” if the team earns a playoff spot. The additional scores by playoff seeding are:

Clinch playoff berth (wildcard) = 2 points.
Clinch division title = 3 points.
Clinch a first-round bye in the playoffs = 4 points.
Clinch home field advantage in playoffs = 5 points.

Current playoff standings and playoff scenarios can be found online courtesy of CBS Sports.

The following teams have a chance to earn Seeder Points with a win:

Dallas = 5 points
Seattle = 4 points
Detroit = 2 or 3 points
Green Bay 2 points
Oakland = 4 points
Kansas City = 2 points
Pittsburgh = 3 points

That is seven options, including 2 ow-owned teams, for 21 additional points. Detroit and Dallas play each other, so you can’t have it all! And you only have three picks!

Off the slate of games, New England, Houston, Miami, Atlanta, New York, and Tampa Bay may secure playoff seeding.

See the CBS scenarios to see which other teams must lose or tie for the above teams to secure playoff seeding. Also see the nfl.com articles on the AFC playoff and NFC playoff race.

The Picks Are In

The Bookie: Ravens/Cowboys/Packers
Big Tuna: Raiders/Lions/Packers
Little Tuna: Cowboys/Raiders/Seahawks
Wise Orangutan: Chiefs/Packers/Steelers
The Strategist: Rams/Cowboys/Packers
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Cowboys/Packers
Minds Blank: scratch
B-Reezy: Lions/Seahawks/Rams
Atwork: Broncos/Steelers/Cowboys

For the next 8 weeks I will ask each of you to reflect on your strategies and how they are working.
Our fourth muse will be from The Strategist: “I don’t know. I don’t know. I don’t want to talk about Jeff Fisher!!”

Strategist is going through the stages of grief. She is still at anger.

Pick Results | Before MNF

Here are the pick results after Sunday:

Cowboys clinched home field advantage (win or lose) = +5 points
Steelers clinched division = +3 points
Chiefs clinched playoff birth = +2 points

TBD: Lions clinch playoff birth with win (+2 points)

Anhalysts get the additional scores if at least 2 Picks are correct.

The Bookie: ~~Ravens~~/Cowboys/Packers (Cowboys = 8 | Lions = 0)
Big Tuna: Raiders/Lions/Packers (Cowboys = 3 | Lions = 10)
Little Tuna: Cowboys/Raiders/~~Seahawks~~ (Cowboys = 8 | Lions = 0)
Wise Orangutan: Chiefs/Packers/Steelers (13 points)
The Strategist: ~~Rams~~/Cowboys/Packers (Cowboys = 8 | Lions = 0)
Kal Krome: ~~Seahawks~~/Cowboys/Packers (Cowboys = 8 | Lions = 0)
B-Reezy: Lions/~~Seahawks/Rams~~ (0 points)
Atwork: ~~Broncos~~/Steelers/Cowboys (Cowboys = 11 | Lions = 0)

If the Cowboys win, lots of scoring this past week. If the Lions win, five Analysts will go scoreless in the third quarter!

Also, if Cowboys win, Wise Orangutan takes the lead into the fourth quarter. If Lions win, Big Tuna holds onto his lead at the end of the third quarter.

Pick Results | Final

Cowboys clinched home field advantage (+5 points)
Steelers clinched division (+3 points)
Chiefs clinched playoff birth (+2 points)

Analysts get the additional scores if at least 2 Picks are correct.

The Bookie: ~~Ravens~~/Cowboys/Packers (8 points)
Big Tuna: Raiders/~~Lions~~/Packers (3 points)
Little Tuna: Cowboys/Raiders/~~Seahawks~~ (8 points)
Wise Orangutan: Chiefs/Packers/Steelers (13 points)
The Strategist: ~~Rams~~/Cowboys/Packers (8 points)
Kal Krome: ~~Seahawks~~/Cowboys/Packers (8 points)
B-Reezy: ~~Lions~~/~~Seahawks/Rams~~ (0 points)
Atwork: ~~Broncos~~/Steelers/Cowboys (11 points)

In the third quarter, Wise Orangutan scores 13 points as his Chiefs dismantle last year’s champion. Atwork, a sleeper team, scores 11 points with two playoff clinching teams.

Four more Analysts add 8 points in the quarter on the strength of the Cowboys season-long dominance and clinching home field advantage.

Big Tuna adds a field goal, while B-Reezy goes scoreless in the third quarter.

Standings | Analyst of the Year III | Week 15

Analyst of the Year III

While B-Reezy begins his victory trot on the homestretch, Big Tuna decides to separate himself from the mediocrity in the rest of the field.

With 7 Trifectas and 33 Correct Picks, B-Reezy handily leads. Big Tuna nets his 4th Trifecta and 30th Correct Pick to move a full length ahead of the next closest challengers.

Wise Orangutan (3 Trifectas and 28 Correct Picks) and Atwork (3 Trifectas and 25 Correct Picks) are contesting the final post in the Winner’s Circle.

Kal Krome keeps pace with 2 Trifecta Points and 27 Correct Picks, followed closely by The Bookie (2 Trifecta Points and 26 Correct Picks) and Little Tuna (2 Trifecta Points and 24 Correct Picks).

The Strategist (1 Trifecta and 23 Correct Picks) was spotted grazing in Seattle.