Seeders Cup Leg 4 Scenarios:
For the final leg of the Seeders Cup, all eight Analysts remain in contention. First, here are the potential seeder points for the week with a team win:
Panthers = 4 points with a win.
Cardinals = 4 points with a win and Panthers loss.
Packers or Vikings = 2 points with a win (they play each other).
Patriots = 4 points with a win.
Broncos = 3 points with a win.
Broncos = 4 points with a win and Patriots loss.
Jets = 1 point with a win.
So, 11 seeder points (12 total) can be earned with a winning trifecta if the Broncos, Patriots, and Panthers or Cardinals win. Therefore, all Analysts are technically in the race before the picks (and box outs).
In order of strength, the scenarios are:
1a. Little Tuna wins if nobody picks correctly. With a 5 point lead on the closest contender, LT needs 7 trifecta points to win outright and 6 trifecta points to force a tiebreaker with the next closet Analyst provided the Pats win. Target seeder points = 6.
1b. If the Patriots lose and Little Tuna does not earn any more points (11 total), these Analysts can win a tiebreaker over Little Tuna provided they correctly pick their Home Team to win: Kal Krome, Strategist, Bookie, and Minds Blank.
2. Kal Krome (6 trifecta points) has a chance to come from behind to win outright. If Little Tuna falters, Kal only needs 6 trifecta points to overtake LT and 5 to tie. To be certain to stay ahead the next closest contender (The Bookie – 5 points), Kal will need 12 trifecta points. Target seeder points = 5 to 11.
3. The Bookie in third place only needs 7 trifecta points to beat LT and 6 total to tie LT if she fails to gain a trifecta in the final leg. To be sure to stay ahead of the next closest contender (The Strategist – 3 points), The Bookie needs 11 trifecta points. Target seeder points = 6 to 10.
4. The Strategist needs 9 points to take the lead if the three leaders fail to earn points and 8 points to tie Little Tuna. Wise Orangutan trails with 2 points, so Strategist would need 12 points to ensure she stays ahead of the orange one. Target seeder points = 8 to 11.
5. If the four leaders falter, Wise Orangutan needs 9 points to tie Little Tuna and win the race due to the first tiebreaker (Jets beat Pats!) regardless if the Pats win this week. To stay ahead of the final three Analysts, Wise Orangutan needs a minimum of 11 points. Target seeder points = 8 to 10.
6a. Minds Blank has an option to go for 11 points with her Home Team to tie Little Tuna (provided LT does not earn a trifecta). If the Pats win and Packers win, Minds Blank will tie Little Tuna in trifecta points and Correct Home Team Selections. The Seeders Cup will come down to the Seeder Points earned by the Analysts. If the Pats lose, Blank wins on Home Team Selections. Target seeder points = 10 points.
6b. Minds Blank, Big Tuna, and B-Reezy need 12 points to win the Seeders’ Cup outright if all other Analysts fail to earn points. In order to make 12 points, these three Analysts need the Patriots to win (4), the Broncos to win (3), and then need to pick correctly between the Panthers or Cardinals (4 points) for the NFC home field advantage. Target seeder points = 11 points.
Example: Wise Orangutan only wants to tie Little Tuna and hope that others fail to earn points. He selects Jets (1 seeder), Broncos (3 seeders), and Patriots (4 seeder points). If the three teams win, he gets 1 + 3 + 4 seeder points and 1 point for the trifecta for a total of 9 points. With 9 points in the final Leg, he ties Little Tuna with 11 points total and wins the Seeders Cup due to the Head-to-Head tiebreaker (did I mention that the Jets beat the Pats!).
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