Super Trifecta Bowl III | Scenarios
With only four teams remaining, there are only four possible correct pick twos in the conference championships: PIT-GB, NE-GB, PIT-ATL, NE-ATL.
Five Analysts have been eliminated after the Divisional Round of the Super Trifecta Bowl: B-Reezy, Little Tuna, Kal Krome, Wise Orangutan, and Big Tuna. The most that any of these Analysts can score is 9 points, but they trail the current leader by 10 points.
By rule, the remaining three Analysts have to pick their respective Home Teams to win the conference championships. By current standings, the scenarios before picks are:
The Strategist (14 points): If Pittsburgh wins, the Strategist will earn 5 points for Playoff Victory and Seeder Redux. She will also become eligible for 3 Reverse PC-Fecta points. If Atlanta wins the NFC Championship, The Strategist will win Super Trifecta Bowl III on Sunday. If Green Bay wins also, the winner of Super Trifecta Bowl III likely will be determined in The Game Which Shall Not Be Named. If Pittsburgh loses, she may be able to win the Super Trifecta Bowl if Atlanta wins against Green Bay… but only if she suffers the humiliation of picking New England to beat Atlanta in The Game Which Shall Not Be Named!
The Bookie (13 points): If Green Bay wins, the Bookie will earn 5 points for Playoff Victory and Seeder Redux. She will also become eligible for 3 Reverse PC-Fecta points. IF New England wins the AFC Championship, The Bookie will earn all 3 Reverse PC-Fecta points for 8 points total and win Super Trifecta Bowl III on Sunday. If Pittsburgh wins, the winner of Super Trifecta Bowl III may be determined in The Game Which Shall Not Be Named. If Green Bay loses, she still has an outside chance to win the Super Trifecta Bowl if New England beats Pittsburgh and Atlanta — and, if The Strategist does not pick New England to beat Atlanta in The Game Which Shall Not Be Named!
Note on The Strategist vs. The Bookie — Should their Home Teams lose, The Strategist still can gain 2 Seeder Redux points by correctly picking Green Bay to win, but an Atlanta pick and win earns nothing more for The Strategist. On the other hand, a correct pick by The Bookie for Pittsburgh earns 2 Seeder Redux points or for New England earns 3 Player Hater points. Despite trailing by one point, The Bookie has more paths to victory.
Atwork (7 points): Atwork has one clear path to victory in Super Trifecta Bowl III. He must pick Atlanta and Atlanta must win. New England must also win so that he earns all 3 Reverse PC-Fecta points and blocks The Strategist from sprinting down the homestretch. If he wisely picks New England to win (given the scenario), he will earn 3 Player Hater points for a total of 9 points this weekend. Then, in The Game Which Shall Not Be Named, Atlanta must defeat New England so that he earns the trifecta and one Seeder Redux point for a total of 11 points in the Championship Round. With 18 points total, The Clearinghouse estimates (with 99% certainty) that The Bookie and The Strategist will not be able to keep pace with Atwork.
