Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup IV | Leg 4

Scenarios | Seeder Bonus Points Leg 3

Slate of Games | Seeders' Cup | Leg 4
Slate of Games for Leg 4 of The Seeders’ Cup

The scenarios include only the teams on our Slate of Games. To see all scenarios for Week 16, see the link below. A “+” indicates two or more games determine the berth scenario. An “OR” in capital letters indicates start of a new scenario to clinch.

As this is the final week and only a few seed positions remain, the scenarios are listed in order of Seeder point value. Below the Seeder point scenarios are estimates for what each Analyst needs to earn The Seeders Cup. Reminder for the co-leaders: tie games bust a trifecta, but an Analyst can earn Seeder points should a game end in a tie or a team back into the playoffs despite losing.

AFC Homefield Advantage (4 points): Patriots or Steelers?

Patriots (current AFC 1st seed): 1) NE win OR 2) PIT loss OR 3) NE tie + PIT tie
Steelers (current AFC 2nd seed): 1) PIT win + NE loss or tie OR 2) PIT tie + NE loss

Note: If Patriots win, a Steelers win is worth no Seeder points. If you pick both teams, only one will be worth 4 points.

NFC First-round Bye (3 points): Panthers?

The Vikings are currently the third-seed and control their own destiny. If they lose, then

Panthers (current NFC 5th seed): 1) CAR win + NO loss or tie + MIN loss + LAR loss or tie

Note: All four games must end in this manner for the Panthers to jump from 5th to 2nd seed.

NFC South Division (2 points): Saints or Panthers?

Saints (current NFC 4th seed): 1) NO win OR 2) CAR loss OR 3) NO tie + CAR tie
Panthers (current NFC 5th seed): 1) CAR win + NO loss or tie OR 2) CAR tie + NO loss

Note: If the Vikings take the first-round bye (3), Panthers can still earn the division title Seeder points (2). If both Vikings and Saints win to take both, then Panthers are worth 0 Seeder points. If you pick both Saints and Panthers, only one will be worth points.

NFC Wildcard Playoff Berth (1 point): Seahawks or Falcons

Falcons (current AFC 6th seed): 1) ATL win OR 2) SEA loss OR 3) ATL tie + SEA tie
Seahawks (current AFC 7th seed): 1) SEA win + ATL loss or tie OR 2) SEA tie + ATL loss

Note: If Falcons win, a Seahawks win is worth no Seeder points. If you pick both teams, only one will be worth 1 point.

AFC Wildcard Playoff Berth (1 point): Ravens

Ravens (current AFC 5th seed): 1) BAL win or tie OR 2) BUF loss or tie OR 3) TEN loss or tie

NFL.com link: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000898396/article/nfl-playoffclinching-scenarios-for-week-17

Scenarios | The Seeders Cup | Leg 4:

The maximum winning Trifecta points in Leg 4 are 9 points: AFC Homefield (Patriots or Steelers), NFC First-round Bye (Panthers), and AFC/NFC Wildcard (Ravens, Falcons, or Seahawks). More likely, due to the Panthers scenario, are 8 points: AFC Homefield (Patriots or Steelers), NFC South Division (Panthers or Saints), and AFC/NFC Wildcard (Ravens, Falcons, or Seahawks). That allows 12 different combinations for a winning trifecta. If an Analyst needs fewer than 8/9 points to win, then other games are available for picks.

The strength of each Analyst position in descending order is:

Little Tuna: Needs only 5 Trifecta points to beat all but The Strategist. If she remains tied with The Strategist, she needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and Seeder Points (+3 currently).

The Strategist: Needs only 5 Trifecta points to beat all but Little Tuna. If she remains tied with Little Tuna, she needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake her in Seeder Points (-3 currently).

Wise Orangutan: Needs 6 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) OR NFC First-round Bye (Panthers) + two Wildcard berths (Ravens + Falcons OR Ravens + Seahawks). He needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake Little Tuna in Seeder Points (-5 currently) in the event of a tie.

The Bookie: Needs 6 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. She must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) OR NFC First-round Bye (Panthers) + two Wildcard berths (Ravens + Falcons OR Ravens + Seahawks). She needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake Little Tuna in Seeder Points (-7 currently) in the event of a tie.

Craft Brew: Needs 7 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers). He also needs either 1) an NFC South winner (Saints or Panthers) to catch the leaders OR 2) two Wildcard berths (Ravens + Falcons OR Ravens + Seahawks). He also needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake the leaders in Seeder Points (-6 currently) in the event of a tie.

Atwork: Needs 8 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) AND an NFC South winner (Saints or Panthers) AND a Wildcard team (Ravens or Falcons or Seahawks) to catch the leaders. He also needs to keep pace in Correct Home Team Picks (tied) and overtake Little Tuna in Seeder Points (-7 currently) in the event of a tie.

Big Tuna: Needs 9 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) AND an NFC first-round bye (Panthers) AND a Wildcard team (Ravens or Falcons or Seahawks) to catch the leaders. If he plays for a tie at 16 points, he needs both the Patriots and Panthers to lose, so he must pick the Steelers AND Saints AND a Wildcard team (Ravens or Falcons or Seahawks). If the tie scenario plays out, he will overtake Little Tuna and The Strategist with 3 Correct Home Team Picks.

B-Reezy: Needs 9 Trifecta points to overtake the leaders. He must pick an AFC Homefield winner (Patriots or Steelers) AND an NFC first-round bye (Panthers) AND a Wildcard team (Ravens or Falcons or Seahawks) to catch the leaders. Since he can’t pick his Home Team Chiefs and earn 8 or 9 points, if he plays for a tie at 16 points, he will lose the tiebreaker on Seeder Points (-8 currently) in the event of a tie.

Kal Krome: We are afraid Kal has been eliminated. Playing for pride!

Scenarios | Analyst of the Year | Week 16:

The Strategist has built an insurmountable lead down the homestretch!

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Standings | Analyst of the Year IV | Week 16

Analyst of the Year IV

The Strategist continues her blistering pace, smashing the former record for the most Trifectas in a single season! With 9 Trifectas on the season, she is assured to win the Analyst of the Year at the finish line after putting too much distance between herself and the second place contenders. After three straight trifectas, Will she trot across the line or will she try to tie the record for most consecutive trifectas (4, by Kal Krome)?

Still trailing by two lengths with 7 Trifectas, Big Tuna, B-Reezy, Craft Brew and Wise Orangutan jockey for second place. Big Tuna (another Place!) maintains his edge with 37 Correct Picks. Trailing by a head, B-Reezy and Craft Brew earned their 36th Correct Pick on the season. Wise Orangutan trails the rest with only 31 Correct Picks on the season. All four are vying for a Place on the Winners’ Circle.

Still in contention for a show, Little Tuna and The Bookie look to close out strong after netting their 6th Trifectas. Little Tuna is in sixth with 34 Correct Picks over The Bookie in seventh with 33 Correct Picks. Will they overtake Craft Brew and B-Reezy to etch their names in the Winners’ Circle?

Atwork remains in eighth with 5 Trifectas over Kal Krome with 4 Trifectas.

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year IV | Standings | Week 16
Standings after Week 16 for Analyst of the Year IV

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year IV | Tiebreaker | Week 16
Tiebreaker after Week 16 for Analyst of the Year IV

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Standings | The Seeders Cup IV | Leg 3

The Seeders Cup IV

Another blazing week by the Analysts! Every Analyst nets a mutli-point Trifecta, some more than others. A photofinish in the making!

After surging down the backstretch, Little Tuna attacked the far turn and earned a whopping 10-points in Leg 3. She drew even with the Analyst (16 Trifecta points) and leads by a nose with 2 Correct Home Team Picks and 16 Seeder points (third tiebreaker).

The Strategist gave it all she had around the far turn, but came up just short of the lead at the top of the home stretch. She too has 16 Trifecta points and 2 Correct Home Team Picks, but trails with 13 Seeder points.

Wise O. kept up his pace to remain in contention for third place, but The Bookie raced past B-Reezy and Craft Brew to take a share of third. Wise O. has the edge for the moment with 11 Trifecta points, 2 Correct Home Team Picks, and 11 Seeder points over The Bookie’s 11 Trifecta points, 2 Correct Home Team Picks, and 9 Seeder points.

Despite a strong showing around the far turn, Craft Brew slides into fifth place with 10 Trifecta points, 2 Correct Home Team Picks, and 10 Seeder points. He leads Atwork in sixth by one length: 9 Trifecta points, 2 Correct Home Team Picks, and 11 Seeder points.

In seventh, Big Tuna and B-Reezy are in a dead heat as both Analysts have 8 Trifecta points, 2 Correct Home Team Picks, and 8 Seeder points.

In ninth with 5 Trifecta points, 1 Correct Home Team Pick, and 6 Seeder points, Kal Krome trails on the back of his aging and increasingly unpredictable Seahawks!

Seeders Cup IV | Standings | Leg 3
Standings after Leg 3 of The Seeders Cup IV

 

Tiebreakers

Craft Brew holds a head-to-head tiebreaker over Wise Orangutan. Atwork holds a head-to-head tiebreaker over The Bookie. Little Tuna holds a head-to-head tiebreaker over Craft Brew. The Bookie holds a tiebreaker over Kal Krome.

Every Analysts but Kal Krome has picked up a second Correct Home Team Pick.

The co-leaders, Little Tuna and The Strategist currently have the edge in Seeder points  if the Cup comes down to a third tiebreaker.

Seeders Cup IV | Tiebreakers | Leg 3
Tiebreakers after Leg 3 of The Seeders Cup IV

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The Seeders Cup IV | Leg 3 Picks

The Analysts’ Picks Are In:

The Bookie: Rams/Steelers/Chiefs
The Big Tuna: Saints/Chiefs/Steelers
Little Tuna: Patriots/Eagles/Chiefs
Wise Orangutan: Ravens/Chiefs/Eagles
The Strategist: Panthers/Steelers/Eagles
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Saints/Steelers
B-Reezy: Chiefs/Ravens/Panthers
Atwork: Eagles/Saints/Ravens
Craft Brew: Steelers/Rams/Ravens

Craft Brew: “What do Santa’s elves drive??”

Bookie: “Gee, I don’t know. What do they drive?

Craft Brew: “Toy-otas minivans!!!”

Happy Holidays and a New Year to All!!!

The Pick Results Are In:

The Bookie: Rams (2)/Steelers(3)/Chiefs(2) (8 points)
The Big Tuna: Saints(1)/Chiefs(2)/Steelers(3) (7 points)
Little Tuna: Patriots(3)/Eagles(4)/Chiefs(2) (10 points)
Wise Orangutan: Ravens/Chiefs(2)/Eagles(4) (7 points)
The Strategist: Panthers(1)/Steelers (3)/Eagles(4) (9 points)
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Saints(1)/Steelers (3) (5 points)
B-Reezy: Chiefs(2)/Ravens/Panthers(1) (4 points)
Atwork: Eagles(4)/Saints(1)/Ravens (6 points)
Craft Brew: Steelers (3)/Rams(2)/Ravens (6 points)

Playoff clinchers (week 16):

Rams | Division Title | 2 points

Panthers | Playoff Berth | 1 point

Saints | Playoff Berth | 1 point

Patriots | First-round Bye | 3 points

Chiefs | Division Title | 2 points

Steelers | First-round Bye | 3 points

Eagles | Homefield Advantage | 4 points

 

 

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Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup IV | Leg 3

Scenarios | Seeder Bonus Points Leg 3

Slate of Games | Seeders' Cup | Leg 3
Slate of Games for Leg 3 of The Seeders’ Cup

The scenarios include only the teams on our Slate of Games. To see all scenarios for Week 16, see the link below. A “+” indicates two or more games determine the berth scenario. An “OR” in capital letters indicates start of a new scenario to clinch.

AFC

Patriots clinch homefield advantage throughout AFC playoffs (4 points) with NE win + PIT loss + JAX loss or tie.

Patriots clinch a first-round bye (3 points) with 1) NE win + PIT loss OR 2) NE win + JAX loss or tie OR 3) NE tie + JAX loss

Steelers clinch a first-round bye (3 points) with 1) PIT win + JAX loss or tie OR 2) PIT tie + JAX loss OR

Chiefs clinch AFC West (2 points) with KC win OR 2) LAC loss OR 3) KC tie + LAC tie

Titans clinch a playoff berth (1 point) with 1) TEN win + BAL loss + BUF loss

NFC

Eagles clinch homefield advantage throughout NFC playoffs (4 points) with 1) PHI win OR 2) MIN loss OR 3) PHI tie + MIN tie

Rams clinch NFC West (2 points) with 1) LAR win or tie OR 2) SEA loss or tie

Rams clinch a playoff berth (1 point) with 1) DET loss or tie + CAR loss + ATL loss

Saints clinch NFC South (2 points) with 1) NO win + CAR loss

Saints clinch a playoff berth (1 point) with 1) NO win or tie OR 2) DAL-SEA tie

Panthers clinch a playoff berth (1 point) with 1) CAR win or tie OR 2) DAL-SEA tie

Falcons clinch a playoff berth (1 point) with 1) ATL win OR 2) ATL tie + DAL-SEA tie + DET loss or tie

Note: The unowned postseason contender Titans host the Rams and unowned postseason contender Falcons visit the Saints in Leg 3. To see all scenarios including the Jaguars and Vikings see the link below.

NFL.com link: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000895587/article/playoffclinching-scenarios-for-week-16-in-nfl.

Scenarios | Analyst of the Year | Week 16:

If The Strategist earns a ninth trifecta, game over, man!

If The Strategist fails to earn a ninth trifecta, then:

1) Big Tuna, B-Reezy, and/or Craft Brew must earn a trifecta to remain in the competition for the Analyst of the Year in week 17.

Eliminated: Kal Krome, Atwork, The Bookie, Little Tuna, and Wise Orangutan.

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Standings | Analyst of the Year IV | Week 15

Analyst of the Year IV

The Strategist sets the record for the most Trifectas in a single season! Will she let up down the home stretch or charge on for the win???

With a two length lead, The Strategist looks to coast to the finish line after notching an 8th Trifecta and 35th Correct Pick on the season.

Only three other Analysts remain in contention–and only if The Strategist fails to earn another Trifecta.

Trailing two lengths behind, Big Tuna runs second with 6 Trifectas and 34 Correct Picks. He leads by one head over B-Reezy and Craft Brew in third place with 6 Trifectas and 33 Correct Picks.

All three can tie The Strategist with 8 Trifectas and force an overtime or win outright should she find herself winded in the closing stretch!

Kal Krome, Atwork, Little Tuna, The Bookie, and Wise Orangutan have been eliminated from the Marathon of the Ass.

Trifectas

Analyst of the Year IV | Standings | Week 15
Standings after Week 15 for Analyst of the Year IV

Correct Picks

Analyst of the Year IV | Tiebreaker | Week 15
Tiebreaker after Week 15 for Analyst of the Year IV

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Standings | The Seeders Cup IV | Leg 2

The Seeders Cup IV

The Strategist holds her lead down the back stretch of The Seeders Cup with 4-point trifecta in Leg 2. She clings to a 1 length lead at 7 points total.

Surging from the back of the field, Little Tuna nets 6 points down the back stretch to take second place after (yet another controversial) photo finish.

Vying for third place, B-Reezy, Wise O., and Craft Brew pick up 4 Trifecta points. Craft Brew owns the first tiebreaker over Wise O., but runs neck-and-neck with B-Reezy with 1 Correct Home Team Pick and 5  Seeder Points each.

The Bookie and Atwork contest sixth place with 3 Trifecta points each, but Atwork holds the first tiebreaker (head-to-head competition).

Big Tuna secures eighth with 1 Trifecta point, followed by Kal Krome.

Seeders Cup IV | Standings | Leg 2
Standings after Leg 2 of The Seeders Cup IV

 

Tiebreakers

Craft Brew holds a head-to-head tiebreaker over Wise Orangutan. Atwork holds a head-to-head tiebreaker over The Bookie. Little Tuna holds a head-to-head tiebreaker over Craft Brew. The Bookie holds a tiebreaker over Kal Krome.

None of the Analysts pick up a second Correct Home Team selection in Leg 2. The race remains wide open!

Little Tuna and Atwork currently have the edge if the Seeders Cup comes down to the third tiebreaker.

Seeders Cup IV | Tiebreakers | Leg 2
Tiebreakers after Leg 2 of The Seeders Cup IV

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The Seeders Cup IV | Leg 2 Picks

The Analysts’ Picks Are In:

The Bookie: Rams/Chiefs/Patriots
The Big Tuna: Saints/Ravens/Panthers
Little Tuna: Patriots/Eagles/Saints
Wise Orangutan: Ravens/Saints/Eagles
The Strategist: Ravens/Saints/Eagles
Kal Krome: Seahawks/Saints/Steelers
B-Reezy: Eagles/Saints/Ravens
Atwork: Patriots/Saints/Ravens
Craft Brew: Ravens/Saints/Eagles

The Analyst of the Week

!!! Big Tuna !!!!

The Bookie: Big Tuna is a big fish in the WFTL. He’s humble enough to know he’s not better than anybody else and wise enough to know that he’s different from the rest. How is he different you ask? He doesn’t even need alcohol to make really really bad Picks. He was the first to win a race, had a race named after him and was the model for WFTL trophy BUT with all these early accomplishments the Big Tuna went belly up with just an occasional bubble. Will Big Tuna float up to the surface and roast in the sun or will he breach the waters and represent Pacific Life as he replaces the hump back whale! Oooh…

Little Tuna: So you guys think that the Big Tuna is a smart analyst? I once saw the guy light a cigarette and stick it behind his ear because he needed both his hands. Burned hair smells very bad!!

The Wise Orangutan: How many times does Big Tuna have to finish in second place before he realizes that Bill Belicheat is giving him bum information that favors Little Tuna? Or that The Clearinghouse is Wise Orangutan, and that he changes the rules every month to box out Big Tuna.

The Strategist: Goes up to microphone. Blushes furiously. Giggles and says, “Tasty!”

Kal Krome: Well, he may be Big Tuna on the surface but don’t let that fool anyone. Who ever heard of roasted tuna? You can fillet him, bake him, grill him, fry him, or can him BUT on the inside he’s a big melt!! In the ocean they say the big fish wins. Then hmmm…. Perhaps swimming would be a safer bet.

Craft Brew: This is what Big Tuna is processing when he’s making his picks!!

Image from nedmartin.org

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

B-Reezy: You sure don’t know how to pick-em!

Atwork: giggle giggle giggle. Still laughing at his last roast

The Results Are In:

The Bookie:  Rams/Chiefs/Patriots (3 points)
The Big Tuna:  Saints/Ravens/Panthers (1 point)
Little Tuna:  Patriots/Eagles/Saints (6 points)
Wise Orangutan:  Ravens/Saints/Eagles (4 points)
The Strategist:  Ravens/Saints/Eagles (4 points)
Kal Krome:  Seahawks/Saints/Steelers
B-Reezy:  Eagles/Saints/Ravens (4 points)
Atwork:  Patriots/Saints/Ravens (3 points)
Craft Brew:  Ravens/Saints/Eagles (4 points)

Playoff clinchers:

Patriots | Division Title | 2 points

Eagles | First-round Bye| 3 points

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Scenarios | The Seeders’ Cup IV | Leg 2

Scenarios | Seeder Bonus Points Leg 2

Slate of Games | Seeders' Cup | Leg 2
Slate of Games for Leg 2 of The Seeders’ Cup

The scenarios include only the teams on our Slate of Games. To see all scenarios for Week 15, see the link below. A “+” indicates two or more games determine the berth scenario. An “OR” in capital letters indicates start of a new scenario to clinch.

Pittsburgh clinches homefield advantage throughout AFC playoffs with a PIT win + JAX loss or tie (4 seeder points). Pittsburgh clinches first-round bye with PIT win OR PIT tie + JAX loss (3 seeder points).

New England clinches AFC East division with a NE win or tie OR BUF loss or tie (2 seeder points). New England clinches a playoff berth with BAL loss or tie (1 seeder point).

Philadelphia clinches homefield advantage throughout NFC playoffs with a PHI win + MIN loss (4 seeder points). Philadelphia clinches a first-round bye with a PHI win OR PHI tie + LAR loss or tie + NO loss or tie + CAR loss or tie (3 seeder points).

Rams clinch a playoff berth with LAR win + DET loss or tie + GB loss or tie + NO loss + ATL loss (1 seeder point).

Jaguars and Vikings also may clinch playoff berths (but are not available in our Slate of Games).

See all Week 15 clinching scenarios here: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000892115/article/nfl-week-15-playoff-clinching-scenarios.

Scenarios | Analyst of the Year | Week 15:

If The Strategist earns an eighth trifecta, then:

1) B-Reezy, Big Tuna, Wise O., and Craft Brew must also earn a sixth trifecta to stay in the competition for Week 16.

2) The Bookie and Little Tuna will be eliminated due to being at least 3 trifectas behind with only two weeks to go.

If The Strategist fails to earn an eighth trifecta, then:

2) The Bookie and Little Tuna must earn a trifecta in order be 2 trifectas behind with two weeks to go.

Eliminated: Kal Krome and Atwork

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Standings | The Seeders Cup IV | Leg 1

The Seeders Cup IV

The Strategist claims an early lead in The Seeders Cup with 3-point trifecta during Leg 1.

The rest of the field is separated by tiebreakers at 0 points.

In second, Atwork has 1 Correct Home Team Pick and 4 Seeder Points. B-Reezy and Craft Brew vie for third place with 1 Correct Home Team Pick and 2 Seeder Points.

Grouped in fifth, Wise Orangutan, Big Tuna, and Little Tuna have no Correct Home Team Picks and 2 Seeder Points.

Tied in eighth place, Kal Krome and The Bookie trot out of the gates with no Correct Home Team Pick and no Seeder Points.

Seeders Cup IV | Standings | Leg 1
Standings after Leg 1 of The Seeders Cup IV

 

Tiebreakers

Craft Brew holds a head-to-head tiebreaker over Wise Orangutan. Atwork holds a head-to-head tiebreaker over The Bookie.

Only B-Reezy, Atwork, and Craft Brew pick up a Correct Home Team Pick in Leg 1.

Seeders Cup IV | Tiebreakers | Leg 1
Tiebreakers after Leg 1 of The Seeders Cup IV

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